Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Uruguay) · Uruguay

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Deportivo Maldonado

3–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

Central Espanol

What Janus-12 said

77%

Deportivo Maldonado or draw

73% success over 49 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Deportivo Maldonado or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/10, 15:25.

Sealed on 03/10, 22:00announced on 24/09/2026, 9 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

53% success over 49 matches in this league
51%✓

Primera: Tabla Anual

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Penarol	31	19	6	6	+25	62
2	Deportivo Maldonado	31	17	7	7	+22	58
3	Atletico Torque	31	16	6	9	+15	54
4	Racing Montevideo	31	14	11	6	+11	53
5	Club Nacional	31	16	4	11	+9	52
6	Wanderers	31	14	8	9	+4	50
7	Liverpool Montevideo	31	13	10	8	+12	49
8	Central Espanol	31	10	8	13	-10	38
9	Albion FC	31	10	7	14	-1	37
10	Juventud	31	9	10	12	-4	37
11	Defensor Sporting	31	8	11	12	-8	35
12	Cerro Largo	31	8	9	14	-7	33
13	Cerro	31	9	6	16	-22	33
14	Boston River	31	8	7	16	-13	31
15	Danubio	31	5	14	12	-14	29
16	Progreso	31	8	4	19	-19	28

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Deportivo Maldonado or draw77%held
- Deportivo Maldonado took the lead in the 13th minute and never let it go.
- Deportivo Maldonado took control early: opening goal in the 13th minute.
Deportivo Maldonado to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Maldonado 2nd, Central Espanol 8th (Primera: Tabla Anual)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Deportivo Maldonado (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match82′ Deportivo Maldonado go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, Deportivo Maldonado

What it changes

In this league, “Deportivo Maldonado or draw” goes from 73.5% to 74% success rate, over 50 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,361 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Deportivo Maldonado on the left, Central Espanol on the right.

First half

Missed penalty · raul tarragona5'
13'Goal · Renato Cesar

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

59'Yellow card · Santiago Cartagena
Substitution · raul tarragona ⇄ J. Dellarossa61'
65'Yellow card · Cayetano Bolzán
Yellow card · Guillermo gandolfo67'
68'Substitution · Santiago Cartagena ⇄ Lucas·Nunez
68'Substitution · Cayetano Bolzán ⇄ Adrian Vila
68'Substitution · Camilo Mayada ⇄ Lautaro Ibanez
80'Substitution · Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa ⇄ maxiliano alis sequeira noble
82'Goal · Lautaro Ibanez
Yellow card · Fernando Camarda86'
Substitution · Lucas·Pino ⇄ Marcos Montiel89'
89'Substitution · David Maximiliano Gonzalez ⇄ franco marino
Substitution · Franco Munoz ⇄ exequiel mereles89'
90'Goal · maxiliano alis sequeira noble

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Deportivo Maldonado or draw77%held
- Deportivo Maldonado took the lead in the 13th minute and never let it go.
- Deportivo Maldonado took control early: opening goal in the 13th minute.
Deportivo Maldonado to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Maldonado 2nd, Central Espanol 8th (Primera: Tabla Anual)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Deportivo Maldonado (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match82′ Deportivo Maldonado go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, Deportivo Maldonado

What it changes

In this league, “Deportivo Maldonado or draw” goes from 73.5% to 74% success rate, over 50 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,361 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera: Tabla Anual

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes