Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Uruguay) · Uruguay

full time

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Progreso

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

Racing Montevideo

What Janus-12 said

76%

Draw or Racing Montevideo

74% success over 39 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Racing Montevideo

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 04:44.

Sealed on 26/09, 15:00announced on 23/09/2026, 3 days before kick-off

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Penarol	7	5	1	1	+9	16
1	Wanderers	7	4	3	0	+8	15
2	Cerro Largo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
2	Club Nacional	7	4	1	2	0	13
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	+6	12
3	Racing Montevideo	7	2	4	1	+1	10
4	Liverpool Montevideo	7	2	3	2	0	9
4	Atletico Torque	7	4	0	3	0	12
5	Juventud	7	2	2	3	-3	8
5	Central Espanol	7	2	3	2	0	9
6	Cerro	7	3	0	4	-4	9
6	Albion FC	7	1	3	3	-2	6
7	Progreso	7	2	0	5	-5	6
7	Defensor Sporting	7	1	3	3	-3	6
8	Boston River	7	1	2	4	-5	5
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	-4	4

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Racing Montevideo76%lost
- Racing Montevideo finished with ten men: sent off in the 74th minute, 16 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Progreso scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableProgreso 7th, Racing Montevideo 3rd (Primera: Torneo Intermedio)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Progreso (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ equaliser, Racing Montevideo (1-1)
During the match74′ sending-off, Racing Montevideo (I. Manzur)
During the match90′ Progreso retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Racing Montevideo” goes from 74.4% to 72.5% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Progreso on the left, Racing Montevideo on the right.

First half

19'Goal · M. Juambeltz

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · F. Gonzalez ⇄ J. Bosca46'
Substitution · S. Da Silva ⇄ F. Suarez46'
Goal · E. Da Silva50'
63'Substitution · A. Ocampo ⇄ F. De Leon
63'Substitution · G. Trasante ⇄ M. Copelotti
Yellow card · I. Manzur67'
73'Yellow card · A. Cougo
Yellow card · I. Manzur74'
Red card · I. Manzur74'
74'Substitution · F. Garcia ⇄ E. Alvarez
Substitution · Brazionis ⇄ M. Ferreira75'
Substitution · A. Vazquez ⇄ R. Gadea75'
78'Substitution · A. Cougo ⇄ H. Carroso
78'Substitution · R. Cristobal ⇄ N. Acosta
Substitution · E. Da Silva ⇄ N. Sosa81'
Yellow card · Agustin De la Cuesta83'
90'Yellow card · E. Alvarez
90+3'Goal · N. Lopez

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Racing Montevideo76%lost
- Racing Montevideo finished with ten men: sent off in the 74th minute, 16 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Progreso scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableProgreso 7th, Racing Montevideo 3rd (Primera: Torneo Intermedio)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Progreso (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ equaliser, Racing Montevideo (1-1)
During the match74′ sending-off, Racing Montevideo (I. Manzur)
During the match90′ Progreso retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Racing Montevideo” goes from 74.4% to 72.5% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes