Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 27 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 24/09.

Alianza Universidad

2–2full timeHT 2–2 · 2H 0–0

Bentín Tacna Heroica

What Janus-12 said

51%

Under 2.5 goals

73% success over 11 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 49 %

A prediction at 51 % fails 49 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 2.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 04:49.

Sealed on 27/09, 19:00announced on 18/09/2026, 9 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 33 matches in this league
73%✓
64% success over 28 matches in this league
66%✓
61% success over 31 matches in this league
74%✗
59% success over 32 matches in this league
73%✓

Segunda División

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Bentín Tacna Heroica	16	8	5	3	+9	29
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	+14	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	+10	30
2	Comerciantes	16	6	8	2	+9	26
3	Minas	16	6	7	3	+13	25
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Sport Huancayo 2	16	7	4	5	+9	25
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	+5	25
5	Alianza Universidad	16	5	6	5	0	21
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	+9	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	+2	21
6	Santos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
7	Ayacucho FC	16	5	4	7	-2	19
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	+1	19
8	Estudiantil CNI	16	4	5	7	+4	17
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	-43	0
9	Deportivo Binacional	16	2	4	10	-39	10

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 2.5 goals51%lost
Alianza Universidad or draw73%held
- Alianza Universidad were never behind.
- Alianza Universidad took control early: opening goal in the 26th minute.
Draw or Bentín Tacna Heroica ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 26′ Alianza Universidad, 29′ Bentín Tacna Heroica, 30′ Alianza Universidad, 45′ Bentín Tacna Heroica.
Under 3.5 goals74%lost
Over 1.5 goals73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlianza Universidad 5th, Bentín Tacna Heroica 1st (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, Alianza Universidad (1-0)
During the match29′ equaliser, Bentín Tacna Heroica (1-1)
During the match30′ Alianza Universidad retake the lead (2-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Bentín Tacna Heroica (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2

What it changes

In this league, “Under 2.5 goals” goes from 72.7% to 66.7% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Alianza Universidad on the left, Bentín Tacna Heroica on the right.

First half

26'Own goal · C. Ventura
Goal · K. Rodriguez29'
30'Goal · A. Succar
44'Yellow card · A. Succar
Goal · K. Rodriguez45'

Half-time2 – 2

Second half

Substitution · G. Loayza ⇄ K. Palomino46'
46'Substitution · A. Flores ⇄ T. Angulo
46'Substitution · P. Vivanco ⇄ S. Rengifo
47'Substitution · S. Cavero ⇄ H. Zeta
55'Yellow card · S. Ramirez
60'Substitution · K. Paico ⇄ R. Palomino
60'Substitution · E. O. Vasquez Ortega ⇄ M. Valverde
Substitution · J. Lopez ⇄ J. Mendoza65'
Substitution · K. Flores ⇄ D. Alvarado77'
Substitution · A. Perez ⇄ I. A. Garrafa Tapia78'
Yellow card78'
Yellow card · J. Garcia80'
Substitution · J. Garcia ⇄ A. Garcia84'

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 2.5 goals51%lost
Alianza Universidad or draw73%held
- Alianza Universidad were never behind.
- Alianza Universidad took control early: opening goal in the 26th minute.
Draw or Bentín Tacna Heroica ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 26′ Alianza Universidad, 29′ Bentín Tacna Heroica, 30′ Alianza Universidad, 45′ Bentín Tacna Heroica.
Under 3.5 goals74%lost
Over 1.5 goals73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlianza Universidad 5th, Bentín Tacna Heroica 1st (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, Alianza Universidad (1-0)
During the match29′ equaliser, Bentín Tacna Heroica (1-1)
During the match30′ Alianza Universidad retake the lead (2-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Bentín Tacna Heroica (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2

What it changes

In this league, “Under 2.5 goals” goes from 72.7% to 66.7% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda División

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes