Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Friday, 25 September 2026

Comerciantes

0–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–0

Sport Huancayo 2

What Janus-12 said

83%

Comerciantes or draw

71% success over 28 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 17 %

A prediction at 83 % fails 17 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Comerciantes or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 25/09, 18:00.

Sealed on 25/09, 21:15announced on 18/09/2026, 7 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

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62% success over 26 matches in this league
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56% success over 18 matches in this league
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46% success over 28 matches in this league
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Segunda División

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Bentín Tacna Heroica	16	8	5	3	+9	29
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	+14	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	+10	30
2	Comerciantes	16	6	8	2	+9	26
3	Minas	16	6	7	3	+13	25
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Sport Huancayo 2	16	7	4	5	+9	25
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	+5	25
5	Alianza Universidad	16	5	6	5	0	21
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	+9	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	+2	21
6	Santos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
7	Ayacucho FC	16	5	4	7	-2	19
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	+1	19
8	Estudiantil CNI	16	4	5	7	+4	17
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	-43	0
9	Deportivo Binacional	16	2	4	10	-39	10

What we announced

2/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Comerciantes or draw83%lost
- Comerciantes finished with ten men: sent off in the 9th minute, 81 minutes a man down.
Draw or Sport Huancayo 2 ahead at half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ Sport Huancayo 2.
Over 1.5 goals74%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 9th minute, on the Comerciantes side.
Under 3.5 goals70%held
Over 2.5 goals51%lost
Comerciantes to win58%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableComerciantes 2nd, Sport Huancayo 2 4th (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match9′ sending-off, Comerciantes (A. Acosta)
During the match45′ opening goal, Sport Huancayo 2 (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Comerciantes or draw” goes from 71.4% to 69% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,908 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Comerciantes on the left, Sport Huancayo 2 on the right.

First half

9'Red card · A. Acosta
Goal · J. Martinez45+1'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Substitution · A. Acosta ⇄ C. J. Mendoza Suarez46'
46'Substitution · A. Ramua ⇄ P. Labrin
46'Substitution · H. Arakaki ⇄ P. Vela
Yellow card61'
Substitution · J. Mosquera ⇄ C. Contreras61'
Substitution · P. Ibanez ⇄ C. Jimenez61'
Substitution · J. Hurtado ⇄ G. Fuentes68'
Substitution · J. A. Espinoza Lopez ⇄ V. Balbuena68'
Yellow card · J. J. Aguilar71'
81'Substitution · R. Rios ⇄ J. Zambrano
87'Substitution · M. Lemos ⇄ P. N. Rojas Ihuaraqui

What we announced

2/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Comerciantes or draw83%lost
- Comerciantes finished with ten men: sent off in the 9th minute, 81 minutes a man down.
Draw or Sport Huancayo 2 ahead at half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ Sport Huancayo 2.
Over 1.5 goals74%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 9th minute, on the Comerciantes side.
Under 3.5 goals70%held
Over 2.5 goals51%lost
Comerciantes to win58%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableComerciantes 2nd, Sport Huancayo 2 4th (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match9′ sending-off, Comerciantes (A. Acosta)
During the match45′ opening goal, Sport Huancayo 2 (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Comerciantes or draw” goes from 71.4% to 69% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,908 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda División

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes