Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Friday, 25 September 2026

Deportivo Binacional

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Academia Cantolao

What Janus-12 said

80%

Deportivo Binacional or Academia Cantolao

71% success over 28 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 20 %

A prediction at 80 % fails 20 % of the time: it happened.

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 25/09, 19:00announced on 18/09/2026, 7 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 23 matches in this league
55%✗
63% success over 27 matches in this league
87%✓
62% success over 26 matches in this league
57%✗
56% success over 18 matches in this league
69%✓

Segunda División

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Bentín Tacna Heroica	16	8	5	3	+9	29
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	+14	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	+10	30
2	Comerciantes	16	6	8	2	+9	26
3	Minas	16	6	7	3	+13	25
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Sport Huancayo 2	16	7	4	5	+9	25
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	+5	25
5	Alianza Universidad	16	5	6	5	0	21
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	+9	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	+2	21
6	Santos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
7	Ayacucho FC	16	5	4	7	-2	19
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	+1	19
8	Estudiantil CNI	16	4	5	7	+4	17
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	-43	0
9	Deportivo Binacional	16	2	4	10	-39	10

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Deportivo Binacional or Academia Cantolao80%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 71st minute, on the Academia Cantolao side.
Draw or Academia Cantolao ahead at half-time55%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 32′ Deportivo Binacional.
Over 1.5 goals87%held
Under 3.5 goals57%lost
Over 2.5 goals69%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Binacional 9th, Academia Cantolao 8th (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Deportivo Binacional (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match56′ equaliser, Academia Cantolao (1-1)
Line-up56′ the goal came off the bench: D. Saffadi (Academia Cantolao)
During the match71′ sending-off, Academia Cantolao (G. Oliva)
During the match90′ Deportivo Binacional retake the lead (2-1)
During the match90′ equaliser, Academia Cantolao (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Deportivo Binacional or Academia Cantolao” goes from 71.4% to 69% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,893 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Deportivo Binacional on the left, Academia Cantolao on the right.

First half

32'Goal · A. Mosquera
33'Substitution · O. Vasquez ⇄ R. Miranda

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · D. Cabello ⇄ D. Saffadi46'
Substitution · E. Crisostomo ⇄ G. Oliva46'
Goal · D. Saffadi56'
66'Yellow card · A. Mosquera
68'Yellow card
Yellow card · C. Uribe68'
Red card · G. Oliva71'
Substitution · M. Gutierrez ⇄ J. Cordova75'
76'Substitution · J. Diaz ⇄ S. Angulo
84'Substitution · A. Gastulo ⇄ N. Quintana
Substitution · T. Alessandria ⇄ J. Salem88'
90+3'Goal · J. G. Marcelin Perez
90+8'Yellow card
Goal90+10'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Deportivo Binacional or Academia Cantolao80%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 71st minute, on the Academia Cantolao side.
Draw or Academia Cantolao ahead at half-time55%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 32′ Deportivo Binacional.
Over 1.5 goals87%held
Under 3.5 goals57%lost
Over 2.5 goals69%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Binacional 9th, Academia Cantolao 8th (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Deportivo Binacional (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match56′ equaliser, Academia Cantolao (1-1)
Line-up56′ the goal came off the bench: D. Saffadi (Academia Cantolao)
During the match71′ sending-off, Academia Cantolao (G. Oliva)
During the match90′ Deportivo Binacional retake the lead (2-1)
During the match90′ equaliser, Academia Cantolao (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Deportivo Binacional or Academia Cantolao” goes from 71.4% to 69% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,893 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda División

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes