Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

CONCACAF Nations League · World

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Martinique

2–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Honduras

What Janus-12 said

73%

Draw or Honduras

82% success over 11 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Honduras

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/10, 02:01.

Sealed on 03/10, 01:00announced on 01/10/2026, 1 day before kick-off

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Honduras73%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Martinique scored in the 88th minute.

What happened

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Honduras (0-1)
During the match40′ equaliser, Martinique (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match88′ turnaround, Martinique go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Honduras” goes from 81.8% to 75% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Martinique on the left, Honduras on the right.

First half

3'Missed penalty · Ludovic Blas
Goal · erick puerto (assist : Luis Vega)8'
26'Yellow card · Kevin Appin
40'Goal · Jonathan Varane (assist : Janis Antiste)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Substitution · erick puerto ⇄ Luis Palma46'
Substitution · Alenis Vargas ⇄ Jonathan Toro46'
47'Yellow card · Brighton Labeau
Yellow card · Joseph Rosales51'
Yellow card · Bryan Rochez53'
62'Yellow card · Harold Voyer
Substitution · Mike Arana ⇄ Dereck Moncada62'
62'Substitution · Kevin Appin ⇄ johnny marajo
Substitution · Edwin Rodriguez ⇄ Kervin Arriaga68'
79'Substitution · Jonathan Varane ⇄ Jonathan Mexique
79'Substitution · Janis Antiste ⇄ enrick reuperne
Substitution · Bryan Rochez ⇄ keyrol figuora79'
87'Substitution · Kenny Lala ⇄ Ronny·Labonne
88'Goal · Jonathan Mexique (assist : enrick reuperne)
90+7'Yellow card · Kenny Lala
90+8'Yellow card · Ludovic Blas

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Honduras73%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Martinique scored in the 88th minute.

What happened

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Honduras (0-1)
During the match40′ equaliser, Martinique (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match88′ turnaround, Martinique go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Honduras” goes from 81.8% to 75% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,029 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes