Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Pro · Ecuador

full time

Monday, 21 September 2026

Match postponed (2 times)

Moved to Monday 21 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 20:00.

Change noted on 20/09.

Manta FC

2–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–1

Orense SC

What Janus-12 said

70%

Manta FC or Orense SC

81% success over 48 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Manta FC or Orense SC

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 21/09, 20:30.

Sealed on 19/09, 20:00announced on 17/09/2026, 4 days before kick-off

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
11	Mushuc Runa SC	31	9	12	10	-3	39
12	Deportivo Cuenca	31	10	7	14	-12	37
13	Orense SC	31	9	6	16	-12	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	31	10	3	18	-14	33
15	Delfin SC	31	7	8	16	-12	29
16	Manta FC	31	6	6	19	-24	24

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Manta FC or Orense SC70%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableManta FC 16th, Orense SC 13th (Liga Pro: Relegation Group)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Manta FC (1-0)
During the match35′ Manta FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match86′ last goal, Orense SC

What it changes

In this league, “Manta FC or Orense SC” goes from 81.3% to 81.6% success rate, over 49 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Manta FC on the left, Orense SC on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Pedro Velasco13'
22'Yellow card · Glendys Calos Mina
Substitution · Rolando David Silva ⇄ Jordy Erick Ortiz Caicedo27'
29'Goal · Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo (assist : Jefferson Troya)
35'Penalty goal · Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra
44'Yellow card · Octavio Moscarelli
Yellow card · Gabriel Achilier45'

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

55'Substitution · Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo ⇄ Jostin Alman
55'Substitution · Glendys Calos Mina ⇄ José Monaga
Yellow card · Andrés Parrales56'
56'Yellow card · Juan Jimenez
Substitution · Pedro Velasco ⇄ Carlos Aurelio Barrio Cuadrado63'
Substitution · Andrés Parrales ⇄ Ángel Mena63'
Substitution · Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes ⇄ Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga63'
65'Substitution · Juan Jimenez ⇄ Juan Nazareno
65'Substitution · Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra ⇄ Ángel Ledesma
66'Yellow card · Jefferson Troya
74'Substitution · J. Vergés ⇄ Robert Burbano
Substitution · Valentín Burgoa ⇄ Bryan Elián Viñán Rodríguez80'
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Alan Gastón Lorenzo82'
85'Yellow card · Jostin Alman
Penalty goal · Ángel Mena86'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Manta FC or Orense SC70%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableManta FC 16th, Orense SC 13th (Liga Pro: Relegation Group)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Manta FC (1-0)
During the match35′ Manta FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match86′ last goal, Orense SC

What it changes

In this league, “Manta FC or Orense SC” goes from 81.3% to 81.6% success rate, over 49 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes