Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Uruguay) · Uruguay

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Club Nacional

3–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 3–1

Defensor Sporting

What Janus-12 said

74%

Club Nacional or draw

75% success over 36 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Club Nacional or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 20:30announced on 17/09/2026, 3 days before kick-off

Primera: Promedios

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Penarol	68	43	12	13	+57	141
2	Club Nacional	68	40	14	14	+52	131
3	Deportivo Maldonado	31	17	7	7	+22	58
4	Liverpool Montevideo	68	31	21	16	+26	114
5	Racing Montevideo	68	28	22	18	+12	106
6	Atletico Torque	68	29	16	23	+18	103
7	Juventud	68	27	17	24	+2	98
8	Defensor Sporting	68	26	18	24	-4	96
9	Boston River	68	22	20	26	-2	86
10	Central Espanol	31	10	8	13	-10	38
11	Cerro Largo	68	20	22	26	-7	82
12	Wanderers	68	20	21	27	-18	81
13	Albion FC	31	10	7	14	-1	37
14	Cerro	68	21	17	30	-31	79
15	Danubio	68	15	27	26	-14	72
16	Progreso	68	18	13	37	-41	67

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Club Nacional or draw74%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableClub Nacional 2nd, Defensor Sporting 8th (Primera: Promedios)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Defensor Sporting (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match72′ Defensor Sporting go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ Club Nacional come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Club Nacional go ahead (3-2)
During the match90′ sending-off, Defensor Sporting (A. Frugone)

What it changes

In this league, “Club Nacional or draw” goes from 75% to 75.7% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Club Nacional on the left, Defensor Sporting on the right.

First half

Goal · G. Barrios27'
Yellow card · A. Frugone33'
35'Yellow card · F. Calvo
37'Yellow card · R. Botta

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

57'Substitution · M. Silvera ⇄ M. Gomez
57'Substitution · C. Candido ⇄ R. Martinez
57'Substitution · R. Botta ⇄ A. Martinez
Substitution · A. Frugone ⇄ N. Medina61'
Substitution · A. Torterolo ⇄ E. Cuello61'
Yellow card · G. De los Santos63'
Substitution · G. Barrios ⇄ M. Rabunal68'
Goal · N. Medina72'
74'Substitution · L. Boggio ⇄ L. Gonzalez
Substitution · G. Rodriguez ⇄ M. Caballero79'
Substitution · L. Agazzi ⇄ N. Scotti79'
84'Yellow card · L. Rodriguez
89'Penalty goal · M. Gomez
90+2'Goal · M. Gomez
90+4'Goal · F. Calvo
Red card · A. Frugone90+6'
90+6'Substitution · T. Correa ⇄ S. Silva
90+7'Yellow card · M. Gomez

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Club Nacional or draw74%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableClub Nacional 2nd, Defensor Sporting 8th (Primera: Promedios)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Defensor Sporting (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match72′ Defensor Sporting go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ Club Nacional come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Club Nacional go ahead (3-2)
During the match90′ sending-off, Defensor Sporting (A. Frugone)

What it changes

In this league, “Club Nacional or draw” goes from 75% to 75.7% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera: Promedios

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes