Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Vikingur Reykjavik

4–1full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 1–1

Keflavik

What Janus-12 said

92%

Vikingur Reykjavik or draw

86% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 23:31.

Sealed on 14/09, 20:15announced on 09/09/2026, 5 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

43% success over 28 matches in this league
78%✓
0% success over 2 matches in this league
54%✓

Úrvalsdeild

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	22	16	5	1	+46	53
2	Fram Reykjavik	22	13	6	3	+14	45
3	KR Reykjavik	22	13	5	4	+25	44
4	Breidablik	22	8	6	8	+2	30
5	IA Akranes	22	8	6	8	-2	30
6	Keflavik	22	8	4	10	-5	28
7	Stjarnan	22	8	4	10	-8	28
8	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	-6	27
9	FH hafnarfjordur	22	4	9	9	-12	21
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	3	13	-28	21
11	KA Akureyri	22	5	5	12	-13	20
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	22	4	6	12	-13	18

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Vikingur Reykjavik or draw92%held
- Vikingur Reykjavik took the lead in the 21st minute and never let it go.
- Vikingur Reykjavik took control early: opening goal in the 21st minute.
Vikingur Reykjavik to win78%held
Vikingur Reykjavik ahead at half-time54%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 21′ Vikingur Reykjavik, 29′ Vikingur Reykjavik, 31′ Vikingur Reykjavik.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVikingur Reykjavik 1st, Keflavik 6th (Úrvalsdeild)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Vikingur Reykjavik (1-0)
During the match29′ Vikingur Reykjavik go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0

What it changes

In this league, “Vikingur Reykjavik or draw” goes from 85.7% to 86.2% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Vikingur Reykjavik on the left, Keflavik on the right.

First half

21'Goal · D. Hafsteinsson (assist : S. Hauksson)
29'Goal · R. Thorkelsson (assist : H. Gudjonsson)
31'Goal · S. Thordarson (assist : V. Ingimundarson)

Half-time3 – 0

Second half

47'Goal · S. Thordarson (assist : V. Ingimundarson)
Goal · M. Al Ghoul58'
62'Substitution · S. Hauksson ⇄ S. Gudjohnsen
62'Substitution · A. Finnbogason ⇄ H. Magnusson
62'Substitution · A. Thrandarson ⇄ V. Andrason
Substitution · E. Bwomono ⇄ A. Johannesson70'
Substitution · S. Ljubicic ⇄ M. Mudrazija70'
Substitution · M. Simicic ⇄ E. Bjarnason70'
Substitution · A. Magnusson ⇄ E. Karlsson80'
83'Substitution · K. Gunnarsson ⇄ D. Atlason
83'Substitution · O. Ekroth ⇄ S. Stefansson
Substitution · D. Valsson ⇄ V. A. Traustason83'

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Vikingur Reykjavik or draw92%held
- Vikingur Reykjavik took the lead in the 21st minute and never let it go.
- Vikingur Reykjavik took control early: opening goal in the 21st minute.
Vikingur Reykjavik to win78%held
Vikingur Reykjavik ahead at half-time54%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 21′ Vikingur Reykjavik, 29′ Vikingur Reykjavik, 31′ Vikingur Reykjavik.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVikingur Reykjavik 1st, Keflavik 6th (Úrvalsdeild)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Vikingur Reykjavik (1-0)
During the match29′ Vikingur Reykjavik go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0

What it changes

In this league, “Vikingur Reykjavik or draw” goes from 85.7% to 86.2% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Úrvalsdeild

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes