Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Veikkausliiga · Finland

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Mariehamn

1–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–0

TPS

What Janus-12 said

79%

Draw or TPS

79% success over 24 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 21 %

A prediction at 79 % fails 21 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or TPS

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 04:56.

Sealed on 12/09, 15:00announced on 04/09/2026, 8 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

42% success over 24 matches in this league
53%✗

Relegation Play-Off

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	+4	34
3	TPS	25	8	8	9	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	-27	17
6	Jaro	25	3	8	14	-28	17

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or TPS79%lost
- TPS chased the score almost all match: Mariehamn scored as early as the 7th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: TPS had 21 shots against 12, for 0 goal against 1.
TPS to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMariehamn 5th, TPS 3rd (Relegation Play-Off)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Mariehamn (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or TPS” goes from 79.2% to 76% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Mariehamn on the left, TPS on the right.

First half

7'Goal · Arvid Bergvik
35'Substitution · Adam Larsson ⇄ Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Tomi Vakiparta ⇄ Nils Veinbergs60'
Substitution · Abdoulie Tamba ⇄ Eetu Turkki60'
67'Yellow card · Ludvig Richtner
Yellow card · Charlemagne Azongnitode69'
Yellow card · Ivan Piñol Zoroa72'
Substitution · Pau Juvanteny ⇄ Lasse Ikonen72'
Substitution · Samuel Anini Jr. ⇄ Joel Ahen72'
74'Substitution · Viktor Widlund ⇄ Marlo Hyvonen
74'Substitution · Arvid Bergvik ⇄ Adam Stroud
Substitution · Charlemagne Azongnitode ⇄ Oscar Häggström76'
82'Yellow card · Tuomas Koivisto
83'Substitution · Jelle van der Heyden ⇄ Anttoni Huttunen
Yellow card · Lasse Ikonen88'

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or TPS79%lost
- TPS chased the score almost all match: Mariehamn scored as early as the 7th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: TPS had 21 shots against 12, for 0 goal against 1.
TPS to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMariehamn 5th, TPS 3rd (Relegation Play-Off)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Mariehamn (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or TPS” goes from 79.2% to 76% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Relegation Play-Off

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes