Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Veikkausliiga · Finland

full time

Tuesday, 8 September 2026

Lahti

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

Mariehamn

What Janus-12 said

87%

Lahti or draw

78% success over 18 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Lahti or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 08/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 08/09, 16:00announced on 04/09/2026, 4 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

39% success over 18 matches in this league
70%✓

Relegation Play-Off

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	+4	34
3	TPS	25	8	8	9	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	-27	17
6	Jaro	25	3	8	14	-28	17

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lahti or draw87%held
- Lahti took the lead in the 87th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Lahti against 3.
Lahti to win70%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLahti 1st, Mariehamn 5th (Relegation Play-Off)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Lahti (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match65′ equaliser, Mariehamn (1-1)
During the match87′ Lahti retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Lahti or draw” goes from 77.8% to 78.9% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lahti on the left, Mariehamn on the right.

First half

38'Goal · Aaron Lindholm (assist : Tofol Montiel)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Jelle van der Heyden ⇄ Leo Andersson60'
Substitution · Viktor Widlund ⇄ Adam Stroud61'
Substitution · Arvid Bergvik ⇄ Marlo Hyvonen61'
64'Substitution · Martim Ferreira ⇄ Justus Ojanen
64'Substitution · Tofol Montiel ⇄ Erik Andersson
Goal · Adam Stroud65'
Yellow card · Noah Nurmi71'
75'Substitution · Topias Inkinen ⇄ Vaino Vehkonen
Yellow card · Foster gyamfi80'
81'Yellow card · Romaric Yapi
83'Substitution · Aaron Lindholm ⇄ Amir Belabid
83'Substitution · Momodou Sarr ⇄ Daniel Heikkinen
87'Goal · Justus Ojanen (assist : Vaino Vehkonen)
89'Yellow card · José Müller
90+2'Yellow card · Vaino Vehkonen

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lahti or draw87%held
- Lahti took the lead in the 87th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Lahti against 3.
Lahti to win70%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLahti 1st, Mariehamn 5th (Relegation Play-Off)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Lahti (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match65′ equaliser, Mariehamn (1-1)
During the match87′ Lahti retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Lahti or draw” goes from 77.8% to 78.9% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Relegation Play-Off

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes