Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Venezuela) · Venezuela

full time

Thursday, 3 September 2026

Rayo Zuliano

4-3full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 2–2

Carabobo FC

What Janus-12 said

53%

Carabobo FC to win

86% success over 7 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 47 %

A prediction at 53 % fails 47 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Carabobo FC to win

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 03/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 03/09, 20:30announced on 03/09/2026, 14 hours before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 7 matches in this league
80%✗

Primera Division: Clausura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Metropolitanos FC	11	9	1	1	+15	28
2	Deportivo Tachira FC	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Puerto Cabello	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Carabobo FC	11	5	3	3	+4	18
5	Portuguesa FC	11	4	5	2	+2	17
6	Deportivo La Guaira	11	5	1	5	+5	16
7	Estudiantes de Merida FC	11	4	4	3	0	16
8	UCV	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Monagas SC	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Caracas FC	11	2	5	4	-5	11
11	Rayo Zuliano	11	3	2	6	-6	11
12	Trujillanos FC	11	3	2	6	-6	11
13	Zamora FC	11	2	2	7	-11	8
14	Anzoátegui FC	11	1	2	8	-14	5

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Carabobo FC to win53%lost
- Carabobo FC finished with ten men: sent off in the 25th minute, 65 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Rayo Zuliano scored in the 90th minute.
Draw or Carabobo FC80%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRayo Zuliano 11th, Carabobo FC 4th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Rayo Zuliano (1-0)
During the match25′ sending-off, Carabobo FC (Ezequiel neira)
During the match28′ Rayo Zuliano go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match55′ Carabobo FC come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match70′ turnaround, Carabobo FC go ahead (2-3)
During the match90′ equaliser, Rayo Zuliano (3-3)
During the match90′ turnaround, Rayo Zuliano go ahead (4-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Carabobo FC to win” goes from 85.7% to 75% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,707 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Rayo Zuliano on the left, Carabobo FC on the right.

First half

1'Goal · luis dugarte (assist : Deiber Vasquez)
20'Yellow card · David Copete
22'Yellow card · Jean Sanchez
Red card · Ezequiel neira25'
28'Penalty goal · José Luis Ochoa Machado
45'Yellow card · Andres Kinsler
Penalty goal · Matias Adrian Nuñez45+6'

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

Substitution · Loureins Manuel Martínez Eizaga ⇄ Alexander González46'
Substitution · Sebastian Mendoza ⇄ Maurice Cova46'
Substitution · Jose Duran ⇄ Darwin Machís46'
46'Substitution · Jean Sanchez ⇄ Joiser Arias
46'Substitution · David Copete ⇄ Gilmar Martinez
49'Substitution · luis dugarte ⇄ Cristian Maldonado
Goal · Jonathan Bilbao (assist : Darwin Machís)55'
57'Yellow card · José Luis Ochoa Machado
Yellow card · Bryan Castillo59'
59'Yellow card · Stiven Samuel Espinosa Orejuela
Substitution · Dimas Meza ⇄ Joshuan Berios60'
65'Substitution · Fernando Diaz ⇄ Paolo Chacon
Goal · Bryan Castillo70'
74'Substitution · José Luis Ochoa Machado ⇄ Jose Moran
Substitution · Darwin Machís ⇄ Edson Castillo79'
90'Goal · Jose Moran
90+4'Goal · Cristian Maldonado (assist : Deiber Vasquez)
90+5'Yellow card · Cristian Maldonado

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Carabobo FC to win53%lost
- Carabobo FC finished with ten men: sent off in the 25th minute, 65 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Rayo Zuliano scored in the 90th minute.
Draw or Carabobo FC80%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRayo Zuliano 11th, Carabobo FC 4th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Rayo Zuliano (1-0)
During the match25′ sending-off, Carabobo FC (Ezequiel neira)
During the match28′ Rayo Zuliano go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match55′ Carabobo FC come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match70′ turnaround, Carabobo FC go ahead (2-3)
During the match90′ equaliser, Rayo Zuliano (3-3)
During the match90′ turnaround, Rayo Zuliano go ahead (4-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Carabobo FC to win” goes from 85.7% to 75% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,707 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes