Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Nacional · Honduras

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Real Espana

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

CD Motagua

What Janus-12 said

78%

Real Espana or draw

85% success over 33 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Real Espana or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 22:23.

Sealed on 20/09, 02:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

69% success over 29 matches in this league
65%✓

Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	CD Olimpia	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	CD Marathon	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	CD Motagua	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Génesis	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	+1	11
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	-3	9
8	Atletico Independiente	8	2	3	3	-4	9
9	Lobos Upnfm	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Atlético Choloma	8	2	1	5	-2	7
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	-11	6
12	Platense FC	8	1	2	5	-12	5

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Real Espana or draw78%held
- Real Espana took the lead in the 80th minute and never let it go.
Draw or CD Motagua ahead at half-time65%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Espana 1st, CD Motagua 4th (Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match80′ opening goal, Real Espana (1-0)
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: N. Cruz (Real Espana)

What it changes

In this league, “Real Espana or draw” goes from 84.8% to 85.3% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Real Espana on the left, CD Motagua on the right.

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

50'Substitution · J. Benavidez ⇄ N. Cruz
55'Yellow card · F. Flores
62'Substitution · D. Sayago ⇄ D. Vuelto
Substitution · R. De Olivera ⇄ J. Moya64'
Substitution · D. Melendez ⇄ J. Garcia71'
Yellow card · A. Reyes78'
80'Goal · N. Cruz
Yellow card · O. Discua86'
Substitution · J. Macias ⇄ R. Gomez86'
Substitution · J. Batiz ⇄ A. Barrios86'
86'Substitution · D. Cacho ⇄ J. Ramos
86'Substitution · A. Garcia ⇄ D. Aparicio

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Real Espana or draw78%held
- Real Espana took the lead in the 80th minute and never let it go.
Draw or CD Motagua ahead at half-time65%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Espana 1st, CD Motagua 4th (Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match80′ opening goal, Real Espana (1-0)
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: N. Cruz (Real Espana)

What it changes

In this league, “Real Espana or draw” goes from 84.8% to 85.3% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes