Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Nacional · Honduras

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Atletico Independiente

2–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Juticalpa

What Janus-12 said

79%

Atletico Independiente or draw

86% success over 29 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Atletico Independiente or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 14/09, 02:30announced on 03/09/2026, 10 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

64% success over 25 matches in this league
61%✓
62% success over 29 matches in this league
51%✓

Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	CD Olimpia	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	CD Marathon	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	CD Motagua	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Génesis	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	+1	11
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	-3	9
8	Atletico Independiente	8	2	3	3	-4	9
9	Lobos Upnfm	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Atlético Choloma	8	2	1	5	-2	7
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	-11	6
12	Platense FC	8	1	2	5	-12	5

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Atletico Independiente or draw79%held
- Atletico Independiente took control early: opening goal in the 24th minute.
Draw or Juticalpa ahead at half-time61%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 15′ Juticalpa, 24′ Atletico Independiente.
Atletico Independiente to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtletico Independiente 8th, Juticalpa 11th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Juticalpa (0-1)
During the match24′ equaliser, Atletico Independiente (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match76′ turnaround, Atletico Independiente go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Atletico Independiente or draw” goes from 86.2% to 86.7% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Atletico Independiente on the left, Juticalpa on the right.

First half

Goal · M. Nunez15'
24'Goal · A. Cabrera
27'Yellow card · A. Cabrera
Yellow card · M. Nunez45+4'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · J. Padilla56'
Substitution · M. Canales ⇄ C. Rochez60'
Substitution · M. Nunez ⇄ C. Sacaza60'
63'Substitution · C. Vasquez ⇄ E. Luna
63'Substitution · A. Cabrera ⇄ F. J. Escoto Pineda
63'Substitution · D. Llorente ⇄ L. Melendez
Substitution · J. Padilla ⇄ K. Matute69'
Substitution · J. Rochez ⇄ Y. Delgadillo70'
70'Substitution · S. Espinoza ⇄ E. Marmol
71'Yellow card · F. J. Escoto Pineda
76'Goal · S. Cruz
Substitution · J. Velasquez ⇄ M. Reyes83'
83'Substitution · S. Cruz ⇄ A. Bodden

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Atletico Independiente or draw79%held
- Atletico Independiente took control early: opening goal in the 24th minute.
Draw or Juticalpa ahead at half-time61%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 15′ Juticalpa, 24′ Atletico Independiente.
Atletico Independiente to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtletico Independiente 8th, Juticalpa 11th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Juticalpa (0-1)
During the match24′ equaliser, Atletico Independiente (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match76′ turnaround, Atletico Independiente go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Atletico Independiente or draw” goes from 86.2% to 86.7% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes