Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Champions League · World

full time

Thursday, 10 September 2026

Fenerbahce

1–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

Roma

What Janus-12 said

75%

Fenerbahce or Roma

96% success over 26 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Fenerbahce or Roma

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 10/09, 15:01.

Sealed on 10/09, 17:45announced on 03/09/2026, 7 days before kick-off

League Phase

as of 09/09, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	1	1	0	+2	3
2	Aston Villa	1	1	0	+1	3
3	Real Betis	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	+1	3
6	AEK	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atlético de Madrid	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0
11	Bodo/Glimt	0	0	0	0	0
12	Como	0	0	0	0	0
13	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0	0
14	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0
15	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0
16	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0
17	Lens	0	0	0	0	0
18	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0
19	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0
20	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0
21	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0
22	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0
23	Roma	0	0	0	0	0
24	Slovan Bratislava	0	0	0	0	0
25	Sabah FA	0	0	0	0	0
26	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0	0	0	0
27	Slavia Praha	0	0	0	0	0
28	Sp Lisbon	0	0	0	0	0
29	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0
30	Viking	0	0	0	0	0
31	Villarreal	1	0	1	-1	0
32	Club Brugge	1	0	1	-1	0
33	LOSC Lille	1	0	1	-1	0
34	Inter	1	0	1	-1	0
35	LASK	1	0	1	-1	0
36	Porto	1	0	1	-2	0

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Fenerbahce or Roma75%lost
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFenerbahce 13th, Roma 23rd (League Phase)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Roma (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match48′ equaliser, Fenerbahce (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Fenerbahce or Roma” goes from 96.2% to 92.6% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,207 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Fenerbahce on the left, Roma on the right.

First half

Goal · Bryan Cristante (assist : Donyell Malen)39'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Devyne Rensch47'
48'Goal · Archie Brown (assist : Mason Greenwood)
51'Yellow card · Archie Brown
Substitution · Manu Koné ⇄ Niccolò Pisilli53'
62'Substitution · Bartuğ Elmaz ⇄ Levent Mercan
69'Yellow card · Kerem Aktürkoğlu
VAR: Penalty cancelled · Paulo Dybala69'
71'Yellow card · Mert Müldür
72'Substitution · Vedat Muriqi ⇄ Romelu Lukaku
72'Substitution · Kerem Aktürkoğlu ⇄ Oğuz Aydın
Substitution · Gianluca Mancini ⇄ Leonardo Balerdi74'
Substitution · Devyne Rensch ⇄ Nahuel Molina74'
Substitution · Matias Soule ⇄ Rodrigo Mora74'
84'Yellow card · Ismail Yüksek
Yellow card · Bryan Cristante86'
Substitution · Donyell Malen ⇄ Marten de Roon87'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Fenerbahce or Roma75%lost
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFenerbahce 13th, Roma 23rd (League Phase)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Roma (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match48′ equaliser, Fenerbahce (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Fenerbahce or Roma” goes from 96.2% to 92.6% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,207 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League Phase

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes