Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Champions League · World

full time

Tuesday, 8 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund

3–2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 3–2

Villarreal

What Janus-12 said

84%

Borussia Dortmund or draw

94% success over 16 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Borussia Dortmund or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 08/09, 13:31.

Sealed on 08/09, 20:00announced on 03/09/2026, 5 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

63% success over 16 matches in this league
67%✓

League Phase

as of 09/09, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	1	1	0	+2	3
2	Aston Villa	1	1	0	+1	3
3	Real Betis	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	+1	3
6	AEK	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atlético de Madrid	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0
11	Bodo/Glimt	0	0	0	0	0
12	Como	0	0	0	0	0
13	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0	0
14	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0
15	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0
16	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0
17	Lens	0	0	0	0	0
18	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0
19	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0
20	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0
21	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0
22	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0
23	Roma	0	0	0	0	0
24	Slovan Bratislava	0	0	0	0	0
25	Sabah FA	0	0	0	0	0
26	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0	0	0	0
27	Slavia Praha	0	0	0	0	0
28	Sp Lisbon	0	0	0	0	0
29	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0
30	Viking	0	0	0	0	0
31	Villarreal	1	0	1	-1	0
32	Club Brugge	1	0	1	-1	0
33	LOSC Lille	1	0	1	-1	0
34	Inter	1	0	1	-1	0
35	LASK	1	0	1	-1	0
36	Porto	1	0	1	-2	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Borussia Dortmund or draw84%held
- Borussia Dortmund took the lead in the 80th minute and never let it go.
Borussia Dortmund to win67%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBorussia Dortmund 4th, Villarreal 31st (League Phase)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match53′ opening goal, Borussia Dortmund (1-0)
During the match66′ equaliser, Villarreal (1-1)
During the match80′ Borussia Dortmund retake the lead (2-1)
During the match85′ Borussia Dortmund go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ last goal, Villarreal

What it changes

In this league, “Borussia Dortmund or draw” goes from 93.8% to 94.1% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,986 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Borussia Dortmund on the left, Villarreal on the right.

First half

27'Substitution · Konstantinos Karetsas ⇄ Ethan Nwaneri
38'Yellow card · Waldemar Anton
Yellow card · Pau Navarro38'
Yellow card · Sergi Cardona Bermúdez42'
Substitution · Sergi Cardona Bermúdez ⇄ Alex Freeman45'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

53'Own goal · Renato Veiga
Substitution · Tani Oluwaseyi ⇄ Alberto Moleiro59'
Substitution · Nathan-Dylan Saliba ⇄ Nicolas Pépé59'
Goal · Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González (assist : Georges Mikautadze)66'
Substitution · Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Alassane Diatta75'
75'Substitution · Marcel Sabitzer ⇄ Jobe Bellingham
75'Substitution · Felix Nmecha ⇄ Fábio Silva
80'Goal · Serhou Guirassy (assist : Fábio Silva)
82'Substitution · Maximilian Beier ⇄ Kauã Prates
82'Substitution · Ethan Nwaneri ⇄ Carney Chukwuemeka
Substitution · Pau Navarro ⇄ Gerard Moreno83'
Yellow card · Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González83'
85'Penalty goal · Serhou Guirassy
Own goal · Serhou Guirassy90+3'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Borussia Dortmund or draw84%held
- Borussia Dortmund took the lead in the 80th minute and never let it go.
Borussia Dortmund to win67%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBorussia Dortmund 4th, Villarreal 31st (League Phase)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match53′ opening goal, Borussia Dortmund (1-0)
During the match66′ equaliser, Villarreal (1-1)
During the match80′ Borussia Dortmund retake the lead (2-1)
During the match85′ Borussia Dortmund go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ last goal, Villarreal

What it changes

In this league, “Borussia Dortmund or draw” goes from 93.8% to 94.1% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,986 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League Phase

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes