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Janus-12

Segunda División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Monday, 7 September 2026

Molinos El Pirata

2–4full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–2

Carlos A. Mannucci

What Janus-12 said

76%

Molinos El Pirata or draw

80% success over 20 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 07/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 07/09, 17:00announced on 03/09/2026, 4 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

73% success over 11 matches in this league
50%✓
63% success over 19 matches in this league
71%✓
59% success over 17 matches in this league
66%✓
56% success over 18 matches in this league
76%✗

Segunda División

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Bentín Tacna Heroica	16	8	5	3	+9	29
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	+14	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	+10	30
2	Comerciantes	16	6	8	2	+9	26
3	Minas	16	6	7	3	+13	25
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Sport Huancayo 2	16	7	4	5	+9	25
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	+5	25
5	Alianza Universidad	16	5	6	5	0	21
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	+9	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	+2	21
6	Santos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
7	Ayacucho FC	16	5	4	7	-2	19
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	+1	19
8	Estudiantil CNI	16	4	5	7	+4	17
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	-43	0
9	Deportivo Binacional	16	2	4	10	-39	10

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Molinos El Pirata or draw76%lost
- Molinos El Pirata chased the score almost all match: Carlos A. Mannucci scored as early as the 22nd minute.
Over 2.5 goals50%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 14th minute, 6 in total.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
Draw or Carlos A. Mannucci ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 14′ Molinos El Pirata, 22′ Carlos A. Mannucci, 44′ Carlos A. Mannucci.
Under 3.5 goals76%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMolinos El Pirata 4th, Carlos A. Mannucci 2nd (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Molinos El Pirata (1-0)
During the match22′ equaliser, Carlos A. Mannucci (1-1)
During the match44′ turnaround, Carlos A. Mannucci go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match64′ turnaround, Carlos A. Mannucci go ahead (1-3)
During the match76′ turnaround, Carlos A. Mannucci go ahead (1-4)
During the match86′ Carlos A. Mannucci go 2 goals up (2-4)
Line-up86′ the goal came off the bench: R. Aliaga (Molinos El Pirata)

What it changes

In this league, “Molinos El Pirata or draw” goes from 80% to 76.2% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,882 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Molinos El Pirata on the left, Carlos A. Mannucci on the right.

First half

14'Penalty goal · K. Lugo
Goal · J. Murillo22'
24'Yellow card · P. Diez Canseco
Goal · F. Acosta44'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

46'Substitution · A. Rodriguez ⇄ J. Canova
46'Substitution · A. Dominguez ⇄ J. Navarro
64'Substitution · M. Suclupe ⇄ F. Fernandez
64'Substitution · L. Carrillo ⇄ R. Aliaga
Goal · J. Nunez64'
75'Substitution · B. Cordara ⇄ J. Carbajal
Missed penalty · M. Murillo (assist : M. Murillo)76'
Goal · M. Murillo76'
Substitution · J. Nunez ⇄ R. Fernandez77'
Substitution · M. Murillo ⇄ G. Rodriguez77'
86'Goal · R. Aliaga
Substitution · D. Chicoma ⇄ J. Rios88'
Yellow card · A. Montalva90+1'

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Molinos El Pirata or draw76%lost
- Molinos El Pirata chased the score almost all match: Carlos A. Mannucci scored as early as the 22nd minute.
Over 2.5 goals50%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 14th minute, 6 in total.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
Draw or Carlos A. Mannucci ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 14′ Molinos El Pirata, 22′ Carlos A. Mannucci, 44′ Carlos A. Mannucci.
Under 3.5 goals76%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMolinos El Pirata 4th, Carlos A. Mannucci 2nd (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Molinos El Pirata (1-0)
During the match22′ equaliser, Carlos A. Mannucci (1-1)
During the match44′ turnaround, Carlos A. Mannucci go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match64′ turnaround, Carlos A. Mannucci go ahead (1-3)
During the match76′ turnaround, Carlos A. Mannucci go ahead (1-4)
During the match86′ Carlos A. Mannucci go 2 goals up (2-4)
Line-up86′ the goal came off the bench: R. Aliaga (Molinos El Pirata)

What it changes

In this league, “Molinos El Pirata or draw” goes from 80% to 76.2% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,882 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda División

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes