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Janus-12

Segunda División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Union Comercio

1–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–0

U. San Martin

What Janus-12 said

86%

Union Comercio or draw

76% success over 17 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Union Comercio or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 06/09, 21:15announced on 03/09/2026, 3 days before kick-off

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Segunda División

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Bentín Tacna Heroica	16	8	5	3	+9	29
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	+14	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	+10	30
2	Comerciantes	16	6	8	2	+9	26
3	Minas	16	6	7	3	+13	25
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Sport Huancayo 2	16	7	4	5	+9	25
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	+5	25
5	Alianza Universidad	16	5	6	5	0	21
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	+9	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	+2	21
6	Santos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
7	Ayacucho FC	16	5	4	7	-2	19
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	+1	19
8	Estudiantil CNI	16	4	5	7	+4	17
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	-43	0
9	Deportivo Binacional	16	2	4	10	-39	10

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Union Comercio or draw86%held
- Union Comercio took the lead in the 16th minute and never let it go.
- Union Comercio took control early: opening goal in the 16th minute.
Under 2.5 goals50%held
Draw or U. San Martin ahead at half-time52%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 16′ Union Comercio.
Over 1.5 goals75%lost
Under 3.5 goals72%held
Union Comercio to win61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUnion Comercio 1st, U. San Martin 5th (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Union Comercio (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Union Comercio or draw” goes from 76.5% to 77.8% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Union Comercio on the left, U. San Martin on the right.

First half

7'Yellow card · G. Delgado
16'Goal · M. Palacios

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · G. Delgado ⇄ J. Ayala
Substitution · D. Huacachin ⇄ R. Torres58'
Substitution · D. Ismodes ⇄ S. Cornejo58'
64'Substitution · E. Paucar ⇄ D. Vargas
64'Substitution · G. Guerrero ⇄ C. Vargas
71'Yellow card · C. Vargas
72'Substitution · M. Palacios ⇄ W. Mimbela
72'Substitution · M. Carranza ⇄ C. Small
Substitution · J. Reyes ⇄ R. Cuba73'
Substitution · J. Romero ⇄ I. Zegarra73'
Yellow card · R. Cuba74'
90+3'Yellow card · W. Mimbela

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Union Comercio or draw86%held
- Union Comercio took the lead in the 16th minute and never let it go.
- Union Comercio took control early: opening goal in the 16th minute.
Under 2.5 goals50%held
Draw or U. San Martin ahead at half-time52%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 16′ Union Comercio.
Over 1.5 goals75%lost
Under 3.5 goals72%held
Union Comercio to win61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUnion Comercio 1st, U. San Martin 5th (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Union Comercio (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Union Comercio or draw” goes from 76.5% to 77.8% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda División

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes