Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Friday, 4 September 2026

Comerciantes

5-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 4–1

Ayacucho FC

What Janus-12 said

81%

Comerciantes or draw

86% success over 14 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Comerciantes or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 16:02.

Sealed on 04/09, 21:15announced on 03/09/2026, 1 day before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

73% success over 11 matches in this league
60%✗
71% success over 7 matches in this league
51%✓
62% success over 13 matches in this league
76%✓
58% success over 12 matches in this league
71%✗
57% success over 14 matches in this league
54%✓

Segunda División

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Bentín Tacna Heroica	16	8	5	3	+9	29
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	+14	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	+10	30
2	Comerciantes	16	6	8	2	+9	26
3	Minas	16	6	7	3	+13	25
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Sport Huancayo 2	16	7	4	5	+9	25
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	+5	25
5	Alianza Universidad	16	5	6	5	0	21
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	+9	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	+2	21
6	Santos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
7	Ayacucho FC	16	5	4	7	-2	19
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	+1	19
8	Estudiantil CNI	16	4	5	7	+4	17
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	-43	0
9	Deportivo Binacional	16	2	4	10	-39	10

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Comerciantes or draw81%held
- Comerciantes took the lead in the 23rd minute and never let it go.
- Comerciantes took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.
Draw or Ayacucho FC ahead at half-time60%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 23′ Comerciantes.
Over 2.5 goals51%held
Over 1.5 goals76%held
Under 3.5 goals71%lost
Comerciantes to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableComerciantes 2nd, Ayacucho FC 7th (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Comerciantes (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ Comerciantes go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Ayacucho FC
During the match90′ sending-off, Ayacucho FC (S. Lojas)

What it changes

In this league, “Comerciantes or draw” goes from 85.7% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Comerciantes on the left, Ayacucho FC on the right.

First half

Yellow card · S. Barboza18'
23'Goal · V. Perlaza
38'Yellow card · M. Lemos

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Yellow card · S. Lojas48'
51'Goal · H. Arakaki
53'Goal · V. Perlaza
54'Yellow card · D. Pinedo
62'Goal · D. Pinedo
66'Substitution · V. Perlaza ⇄ P. Vela
Substitution · A. Fanarraga ⇄ J. Morales66'
Substitution · Q. Melendez ⇄ J. Tuesta66'
77'Goal · P. Vela
Yellow card · C. Huyhua78'
81'Substitution · F. Arevalo ⇄ F. J. Gonzales Cainamari
81'Substitution · A. Acosta ⇄ J. Bazan
81'Substitution · M. Lemos ⇄ P. N. Rojas Ihuaraqui
86'Substitution · L. Silva ⇄ F. Saravia
Goal · J. Morales88'
Yellow card90+1'
Red card · S. Lojas90+1'

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Comerciantes or draw81%held
- Comerciantes took the lead in the 23rd minute and never let it go.
- Comerciantes took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.
Draw or Ayacucho FC ahead at half-time60%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 23′ Comerciantes.
Over 2.5 goals51%held
Over 1.5 goals76%held
Under 3.5 goals71%lost
Comerciantes to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableComerciantes 2nd, Ayacucho FC 7th (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Comerciantes (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ Comerciantes go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Ayacucho FC
During the match90′ sending-off, Ayacucho FC (S. Lojas)

What it changes

In this league, “Comerciantes or draw” goes from 85.7% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda División

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes