Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Uruguay) · Uruguay

full time

Sunday, 23 August 2026

Club Nacional

1-0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Progreso

What Janus-12 said

83%

Club Nacional or draw

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 23/08, 22:30announced on 15/08/2026, 8 days before kick-off

poster not sealed at kick-off: success rates are not shown

Primera: Promedios

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Penarol	68	43	12	13	+57	141
2	Club Nacional	68	40	14	14	+52	131
3	Deportivo Maldonado	31	17	7	7	+22	58
4	Liverpool Montevideo	68	31	21	16	+26	114
5	Racing Montevideo	68	28	22	18	+12	106
6	Atletico Torque	68	29	16	23	+18	103
7	Juventud	68	27	17	24	+2	98
8	Defensor Sporting	68	26	18	24	-4	96
9	Boston River	68	22	20	26	-2	86
10	Central Espanol	31	10	8	13	-10	38
11	Cerro Largo	68	20	22	26	-7	82
12	Wanderers	68	20	21	27	-18	81
13	Albion FC	31	10	7	14	-1	37
14	Cerro	68	21	17	30	-31	79
15	Danubio	68	15	27	26	-14	72
16	Progreso	68	18	13	37	-41	67

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Club Nacional to win60%held
- Progreso played 59 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 31st minute.
- Club Nacional took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableClub Nacional 2nd, Progreso 16th (Primera: Promedios)

During the match

During the match31′ sending-off, Progreso (M. Saravia)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match89′ opening goal, Club Nacional (1-0)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,715 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Club Nacional on the left, Progreso on the right.

First half

Yellow card · S. Bruschi17'
Yellow card · M. Saravia29'
Yellow card · M. Saravia31'
Red card · M. Saravia31'
Substitution · S. Bruschi ⇄ F. Garcia34'
36'Yellow card · A. dos Santos

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

46'Substitution · B. Zuculini ⇄ L. Boggio
46'Substitution · A. dos Santos ⇄ R. Martinez
46'Substitution · T. Veron ⇄ J. De Los Santos
Substitution · M. Juambeltz ⇄ N. Acosta65'
Substitution · F. De Leon ⇄ M. Copelotti65'
70'Substitution · A. Rogel ⇄ R. Botta
Substitution · E. Alvarez ⇄ L. Couture76'
Substitution · A. Ocampo ⇄ J. Silva76'
Yellow card · J. Silva77'
79'Substitution · T. Correa ⇄ M. Silvera
Yellow card · R. Bacchia84'
87'Yellow card · F. Calvo
89'Goal · M. Silvera

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Club Nacional to win60%held
- Progreso played 59 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 31st minute.
- Club Nacional took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableClub Nacional 2nd, Progreso 16th (Primera: Promedios)

During the match

During the match31′ sending-off, Progreso (M. Saravia)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match89′ opening goal, Club Nacional (1-0)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,715 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera: Promedios

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes