Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Alef · Israel

full time

Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Wednesday 30 September at 17:55. Originally planned for Wednesday 30 September at 13:00.

Change noted on 25/09.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

2-3full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–2

Tzeirey Tamra

What Janus-12 said

76%

Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw

83% success over 70 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 01/10, 00:30.

Sealed on 30/09, 17:55announced on 16/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

65% success over 69 matches in this league
64%✓
47% success over 70 matches in this league
51%✗

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw76%lost
- Hapoel Nazareth Illit chased the score almost all match: Tzeirey Tamra scored as early as the 14th minute.
Draw or Tzeirey Tamra ahead at half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 14′ Tzeirey Tamra, 43′ Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win51%lost

What happened

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Tzeirey Tamra (0-1)
During the match43′ equaliser, Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match47′ Tzeirey Tamra retake the lead (1-2)
During the match59′ equaliser, Hapoel Nazareth Illit (2-2)
During the match77′ Tzeirey Tamra retake the lead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw” goes from 82.9% to 81.7% success rate, over 71 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,267 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw76%lost
- Hapoel Nazareth Illit chased the score almost all match: Tzeirey Tamra scored as early as the 14th minute.
Draw or Tzeirey Tamra ahead at half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 14′ Tzeirey Tamra, 43′ Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win51%lost

What happened

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Tzeirey Tamra (0-1)
During the match43′ equaliser, Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match47′ Tzeirey Tamra retake the lead (1-2)
During the match59′ equaliser, Hapoel Nazareth Illit (2-2)
During the match77′ Tzeirey Tamra retake the lead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw” goes from 82.9% to 81.7% success rate, over 71 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,267 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes