Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Alef · Israel

full time

Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Wednesday 30 September at 13:30. Originally planned for Wednesday 30 September at 13:00.

Change noted on 28/09.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

What Janus-12 said

79%

Draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

83% success over 64 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 01/10, 00:30.

Sealed on 30/09, 13:30announced on 16/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

65% success over 63 matches in this league
87%✗
50% success over 64 matches in this league
56%✗

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek79%held
Draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek ahead at half-time87%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 21′ Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win56%lost
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek chased the score almost all match: Hapoel Ironi Arraba scored as early as the 21st minute.

What happened

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match49′ equaliser, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek” goes from 82.8% to 83.1% success rate, over 65 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,267 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek79%held
Draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek ahead at half-time87%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 21′ Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win56%lost
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek chased the score almost all match: Hapoel Ironi Arraba scored as early as the 21st minute.

What happened

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match49′ equaliser, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek” goes from 82.8% to 83.1% success rate, over 65 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,267 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes