Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Alef · Israel

full time

Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Wednesday 23 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Wednesday 23 September at 13:00.

Change noted on 18/09.

Tira

1-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

What Janus-12 said

78%

Tira or draw

84% success over 50 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Tira or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 23/09, 16:30.

Sealed on 23/09, 18:01announced on 09/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 49 matches in this league
65%✗
50% success over 50 matches in this league
51%✗

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tira or draw78%held
- Tira were never behind.
- Tira took control early: opening goal in the 27th minute.
Draw or Hapoel Bnei Musmus ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 27′ Tira.
Tira to win51%lost

What happened

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Tira (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match66′ equaliser, Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Tira or draw” goes from 84% to 84.3% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,169 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tira or draw78%held
- Tira were never behind.
- Tira took control early: opening goal in the 27th minute.
Draw or Hapoel Bnei Musmus ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 27′ Tira.
Tira to win51%lost

What happened

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Tira (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match66′ equaliser, Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Tira or draw” goes from 84% to 84.3% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,169 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes