Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Alef · Israel

full time

Friday, 16 October 2026

Date changed (2 times)

Moved to Friday 16 October at 12:00. Originally planned for Friday 18 September at 12:30.

Change noted on 16/10.

Hapoel Beit Shean

1-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

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What Janus-12 said

70%

Hapoel Beit Shean or draw

88% success over 40 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where this market is covered· 1 bookmaker

Market covered: Hapoel Beit Shean or draw

1xBet

We show the implied probability, not the operator's price. Availability checked on 16/10, 20:01.

Sealed on 18/09, 12:30announced on 05/09/2026, 40 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

69% success over 39 matches in this league
74%✓

What we announced

2/2

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Hapoel Beit Shean or draw70%held
Draw or Hapoel Nazareth Illit ahead at half-time74%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 35′ Hapoel Nazareth Illit, 43′ Hapoel Beit Shean.

What happened

During the match

During the match35′ opening goal, Hapoel Nazareth Illit (0-1)
During the match43′ equaliser, Hapoel Beit Shean (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Hapoel Beit Shean or draw” goes from 87.5% to 87.8% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

2/2

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Hapoel Beit Shean or draw70%held
Draw or Hapoel Nazareth Illit ahead at half-time74%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 35′ Hapoel Nazareth Illit, 43′ Hapoel Beit Shean.

What happened

During the match

During the match35′ opening goal, Hapoel Nazareth Illit (0-1)
During the match43′ equaliser, Hapoel Beit Shean (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Hapoel Beit Shean or draw” goes from 87.5% to 87.8% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes