Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Campionato · San-Marino

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Libertas

1–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

Faetano

What Janus-12 said

80%

Libertas or Faetano

83% success over 24 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 20 %

A prediction at 80 % fails 20 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Libertas or Faetano

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 21:03.

Sealed on 18/09, 20:15announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 24 matches in this league
78%✓
79% success over 24 matches in this league
73%✓
79% success over 24 matches in this league
86%✓
71% success over 24 matches in this league
53%✗
68% success over 19 matches in this league
59%✓
67% success over 24 matches in this league
64%✓
63% success over 24 matches in this league
61%✓
53% success over 15 matches in this league
56%✗

Campionato

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	+9	9
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	La Fiorita	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Juvenes / Dogana	4	1	0	3	0	3
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	-1	3
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	-6	3
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	-6	3
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	San Marino Academy	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	-8	2

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Libertas or Faetano80%lost
Over 1.5 goals78%held
At least 1 goal before half-time73%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 24′ Faetano.
Under 4.5 goals86%held
Libertas to win53%lost
- Libertas chased the score almost all match: Faetano scored as early as the 24th minute.
Draw or Faetano ahead at half-time59%held
Under 3.5 goals64%held
One team ahead at half-time61%held
Over 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLibertas 8th, Faetano 16th (Campionato)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, Faetano (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match74′ equaliser, Libertas (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Libertas or Faetano” goes from 83.3% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Libertas or Faetano80%lost
Over 1.5 goals78%held
At least 1 goal before half-time73%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 24′ Faetano.
Under 4.5 goals86%held
Libertas to win53%lost
- Libertas chased the score almost all match: Faetano scored as early as the 24th minute.
Draw or Faetano ahead at half-time59%held
Under 3.5 goals64%held
One team ahead at half-time61%held
Over 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLibertas 8th, Faetano 16th (Campionato)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, Faetano (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match74′ equaliser, Libertas (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Libertas or Faetano” goes from 83.3% to 80% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Campionato

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes