Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · World

full time

Thursday, 27 August 2026

River Plate

1–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Santa Fe

What Janus-12 said

72%

River Plate or Santa Fe

88% success over 8 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 28 %

A prediction at 72 % fails 28 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: River Plate or Santa Fe

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/08, 04:30.

Sealed on 27/08, 01:30announced on 15/08/2026, 11 days before kick-off

Group H

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	River Plate	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Bragantino	6	3	1	2	+7	10
3	Carabobo FC	6	3	0	3	+1	9
4	Blooming	6	0	1	5	-14	1

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

River Plate or Santa Fe72%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The volume of chances went no further: 3.87 expected goals in total.

What happened

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match52′ opening goal, River Plate (1-0)
During the match80′ equaliser, Santa Fe (1-1)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (2-1)
During the match120′ equaliser, Santa Fe (2-2)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (3-2)
During the match120′ equaliser, Santa Fe (3-3)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (4-3)
During the match120′ River Plate go 2 goals up (5-3)
During the match120′ Santa Fe come back from 2 goals down (5-5)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (6-5)
During the match120′ Santa Fe come back from 2 goals down (6-6)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (7-6)
During the match120′ Santa Fe come back from 2 goals down (7-7)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (8-7)
During the match120′ Santa Fe come back from 2 goals down (8-8)
During the match120′ turnaround, Santa Fe go ahead (8-9)
Line-up120′ the goal came off the bench: Fausto Vera (River Plate)

What it changes

In this league, “River Plate or Santa Fe” goes from 87.5% to 77.8% success rate, over 9 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,121 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

River Plate on the left, Santa Fe on the right.

First half

Substitution · K. D. Toscano Bassa ⇄ J. Torres36'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

52'Goal · S. Driussi (assist : G. Montiel)
Substitution · A. Zapata ⇄ F. Fagundez58'
Substitution · J. Obrian ⇄ L. Palacios58'
Substitution · N. Bustos ⇄ M. Lovera58'
62'Substitution · T. Galvan ⇄ Fausto Vera
62'Substitution · S. Driussi ⇄ R. Borre
71'Yellow card · G. Montiel
76'Substitution · T. Andrada ⇄ F. Gonzalez
76'Substitution · G. Montiel ⇄ J. Meza
Penalty goal · F. Fagundez80'
82'Substitution · A. Moreno ⇄ J. Freitas
82'Yellow card · M. Acuna
Yellow card · C. Mafla83'
Substitution · H. Rodallega ⇄ J. Angulo87'

Extra time

120+1'Penalty goal · T. Almada
Penalty goal · M. Lovera120+1'
120+2'Penalty goal · A. Correa
Penalty goal · D. Torres120+2'
120+3'Penalty goal · N. Otamendi
Missed penalty · E. Olivera120+3'
120+4'Penalty goal · J. Freitas
Penalty goal · L. Palacios120+4'
120+5'Missed penalty · R. Borre
Penalty goal · F. Fagundez120+5'
120+6'Missed penalty · L. Martinez Quarta
Missed penalty · J. Torres120+6'
120+7'Penalty goal · Fausto Vera
Penalty goal · I. R. Scarpeta Silgado120+7'
120+8'Missed penalty · F. Gonzalez
Missed penalty · J. Angulo120+8'
120+9'Penalty goal · M. Acuna
Penalty goal · H. Palacios120+9'
120+10'Penalty goal · J. Meza
Penalty goal · C. Mafla120+10'
120+11'Missed penalty · S. Beltran
Penalty goal · W. Asprilla120+11'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

River Plate or Santa Fe72%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The volume of chances went no further: 3.87 expected goals in total.

What happened

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match52′ opening goal, River Plate (1-0)
During the match80′ equaliser, Santa Fe (1-1)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (2-1)
During the match120′ equaliser, Santa Fe (2-2)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (3-2)
During the match120′ equaliser, Santa Fe (3-3)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (4-3)
During the match120′ River Plate go 2 goals up (5-3)
During the match120′ Santa Fe come back from 2 goals down (5-5)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (6-5)
During the match120′ Santa Fe come back from 2 goals down (6-6)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (7-6)
During the match120′ Santa Fe come back from 2 goals down (7-7)
During the match120′ River Plate retake the lead (8-7)
During the match120′ Santa Fe come back from 2 goals down (8-8)
During the match120′ turnaround, Santa Fe go ahead (8-9)
Line-up120′ the goal came off the bench: Fausto Vera (River Plate)

What it changes

In this league, “River Plate or Santa Fe” goes from 87.5% to 77.8% success rate, over 9 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,121 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group H

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes