Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Pro League (Saudi Arabia) · Saudi-Arabia

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 17:20. Originally planned for Thursday 10 September at 19:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

NEOM

4–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 3–1

Al-Fateh

What Janus-12 said

58%

Draw or Al-Fateh ahead at half-time

74% success over 42 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Al-Fateh ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 13/09, 17:20announced on 27/08/2026, 16 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 54 matches in this league
81%✓
50% success over 54 matches in this league
57%✓

Saudi Professional League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	6	0	1	+18	18
2	Al-Ittihad FC	7	5	2	0	+6	17
3	Al-Nassr	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	NEOM	7	5	0	2	+7	15
6	Al-Ahli Jeddah	7	4	0	3	+6	12
7	Al Kholood	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Al Diriyah	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Al-Ettifaq	7	3	2	2	0	11
10	Al-Hazm	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Al-Fayha	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	7	0	5	2	-7	5
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Al-Fateh	7	0	3	4	-7	3
16	Al-Faisaly FC	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	-9	3
18	Abha	7	0	2	5	-8	2

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Al-Fateh ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 16′ NEOM, 41′ Al-Fateh.
NEOM or draw81%held
- NEOM held on with ten men for 45 minutes (sent off in the 45th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- NEOM took the lead in the 70th minute and never let it go.
NEOM to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNEOM 5th, Al-Fateh 15th (Saudi Professional League)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, NEOM (1-0)
During the match41′ equaliser, Al-Fateh (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, NEOM (Christophe Galtier)
During the match51′ NEOM retake the lead (2-1)
During the match64′ equaliser, Al-Fateh (2-2)
During the match70′ NEOM retake the lead (3-2)
During the match79′ NEOM go 2 goals up (4-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Al-Fateh ahead at half-time” goes from 73.8% to 74.4% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

NEOM on the left, Al-Fateh on the right.

First half

6'Yellow card · Khalil Al-Absi
16'Penalty goal · Alexandre Lacazette
39'Yellow card · Amadou Koné
Goal · Mourad Batna41'
Yellow card · Mihai Lixandru42'
45+5'Yellow card · Christophe Galtier
45+6'Red card · Christophe Galtier

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

51'Goal · Amadou Koné (assist : Muhanad Al Saad)
Goal · Wilfried Kanga64'
65'Substitution · Khalil Al-Absi ⇄ Georgios Masouras
70'Goal · Alexandre Lacazette (assist : Islam Ahmed Hawsawi)
75'Substitution · Muhanad Al Saad ⇄ Valentín Vada
76'Substitution · Islam Ahmed Hawsawi ⇄ Mohannad Abu Taha
79'Goal · Valentín Vada (assist : Mohannad Abu Taha)
Substitution · Faisal Abdulwahed ⇄ Hossam Essadak81'
Substitution · Lukáš Haraslín ⇄ Fahad Al Zubaidi81'
Substitution · Sattam Tumbukti ⇄ Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari81'
Substitution · Ali Al-Hassan ⇄ Saad Al-Shurafa81'
Substitution · Wilfried Kanga ⇄ Jefferson Soares Oliveira Ramos87'
90'Substitution · Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari ⇄ Khalifah Al-Dawsari
90'Substitution · Alaa Hejji ⇄ Abbas Al Hassan

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Al-Fateh ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 16′ NEOM, 41′ Al-Fateh.
NEOM or draw81%held
- NEOM held on with ten men for 45 minutes (sent off in the 45th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- NEOM took the lead in the 70th minute and never let it go.
NEOM to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNEOM 5th, Al-Fateh 15th (Saudi Professional League)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, NEOM (1-0)
During the match41′ equaliser, Al-Fateh (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, NEOM (Christophe Galtier)
During the match51′ NEOM retake the lead (2-1)
During the match64′ equaliser, Al-Fateh (2-2)
During the match70′ NEOM retake the lead (3-2)
During the match79′ NEOM go 2 goals up (4-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Al-Fateh ahead at half-time” goes from 73.8% to 74.4% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Saudi Professional League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes