Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Pro League (Saudi Arabia) · Saudi-Arabia

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Al-Ittihad FC

2–1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–0

Al-Nassr

What Janus-12 said

78%

Draw or Al-Nassr ahead at half-time

77% success over 30 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 22 %

A prediction at 78 % fails 22 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Al-Nassr ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 19:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

73% success over 37 matches in this league
78%✗
49% success over 37 matches in this league
54%✗

Saudi Professional League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	6	0	1	+18	18
2	Al-Ittihad FC	7	5	2	0	+6	17
3	Al-Nassr	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	NEOM	7	5	0	2	+7	15
6	Al-Ahli Jeddah	7	4	0	3	+6	12
7	Al Kholood	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Al Diriyah	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Al-Ettifaq	7	3	2	2	0	11
10	Al-Hazm	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Al-Fayha	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	7	0	5	2	-7	5
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Al-Fateh	7	0	3	4	-7	3
16	Al-Faisaly FC	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	-9	3
18	Abha	7	0	2	5	-8	2

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Al-Nassr ahead at half-time78%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 4′ Al-Ittihad FC, 22′ Al-Ittihad FC, 36′ Al-Nassr.
Draw or Al-Nassr78%lost
- Al-Nassr chased the score almost all match: Al-Ittihad FC scored as early as the 4th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Al-Nassr had 16 shots against 15, for 1 goal against 2.
Al-Nassr to win54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAl-Ittihad FC 2nd, Al-Nassr 3rd (Saudi Professional League)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Al-Ittihad FC (1-0)
During the match22′ Al-Ittihad FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Al-Nassr ahead at half-time” goes from 76.7% to 74.2% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Al-Ittihad FC on the left, Al-Nassr on the right.

First half

4'Goal · George Ilenikhena
22'Goal · George Ilenikhena (assist : Houssem Aouar)
Goal · Angelo Borges36'
45'Substitution · Mukhtar Ali ⇄ Richard Ríos Montoya

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

53'Substitution · Ahmed Al Julaydan ⇄ Muhannad Al-Shanqeeti
53'Yellow card · Dion Lopy
Yellow card · Samu Costa55'
Substitution · Kingsley Coman ⇄ Ayman Yahya60'
Substitution · Salem Al-Najdi ⇄ Saad Fahad Al Nasser60'
67'Substitution · Ahmed Al-Ghamdi ⇄ Marwan Al-Sahafi
67'Substitution · George Ilenikhena ⇄ Youssef En-Nesyri
Yellow card · Joao Felix69'
Substitution · Angelo Borges ⇄ Abdullah Al-Hamdan78'
Substitution · Samu Costa ⇄ Abdullah Al-Khaibari78'
Yellow card · Abdullah Al-Khaibari79'
82'Substitution · Steven Bergwijn ⇄ Rakan Al-Kaabi
Yellow card · Abdulelah Al-Amri90+1'
90+2'Yellow card · Youssef En-Nesyri

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Al-Nassr ahead at half-time78%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 4′ Al-Ittihad FC, 22′ Al-Ittihad FC, 36′ Al-Nassr.
Draw or Al-Nassr78%lost
- Al-Nassr chased the score almost all match: Al-Ittihad FC scored as early as the 4th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Al-Nassr had 16 shots against 15, for 1 goal against 2.
Al-Nassr to win54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAl-Ittihad FC 2nd, Al-Nassr 3rd (Saudi Professional League)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Al-Ittihad FC (1-0)
During the match22′ Al-Ittihad FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Al-Nassr ahead at half-time” goes from 76.7% to 74.2% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Saudi Professional League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes