Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Pro League (Saudi Arabia) · Saudi-Arabia

full time

Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Al Shabab

3–3full timeHT 2–2 · 2H 1–1

Al Riyadh

What Janus-12 said

81%

Under 5.5 yellow cards

100% success over 1 match in this league

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 25/08, 19:00announced on 15/08/2026, 10 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

100% success over 1 match in this league
91%✓
83% success over 12 matches in this league
63%✓
80% success over 15 matches in this league
75%✗

Saudi Professional League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	6	0	1	+18	18
2	Al-Ittihad FC	7	5	2	0	+6	17
3	Al-Nassr	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	NEOM	7	5	0	2	+7	15
6	Al-Ahli Jeddah	7	4	0	3	+6	12
7	Al Kholood	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Al Diriyah	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Al-Ettifaq	7	3	2	2	0	11
10	Al-Hazm	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Al-Fayha	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	7	0	5	2	-7	5
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Al-Fateh	7	0	3	4	-7	3
16	Al-Faisaly FC	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	-9	3
18	Abha	7	0	2	5	-8	2

What we announced

3/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards81%held
- 2 yellow cards for 18 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 61st minute.
Under 6.5 yellow cards91%held
Draw or Al Riyadh ahead at half-time63%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 32′ Al Riyadh, 36′ Al Shabab, 41′ Al Riyadh, 45′ Al Shabab.
Al Shabab or Al Riyadh75%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 61st minute, on the Al Riyadh side.
- The volume of chances went no further: 4.08 expected goals in total.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAl Shabab 14th, Al Riyadh 11th (Saudi Professional League)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Al Riyadh (0-1)
During the match36′ equaliser, Al Shabab (1-1)
During the match41′ Al Riyadh retake the lead (1-2)
During the match45′ equaliser, Al Shabab (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match57′ Al Riyadh retake the lead (2-3)
During the match61′ sending-off, Al Riyadh (K. Keita)
During the match81′ equaliser, Al Shabab (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,982 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Al Shabab on the left, Al Riyadh on the right.

First half

Goal · Trezeguet (assist : L. Antunes)32'
36'Goal · J. Brownhill
Goal · L. Antunes (assist : R. Abascal)41'
Yellow card · S. Al Essa44'
45+1'Goal · Y. Carrasco (assist : Y. Adli)

Half-time2 – 2

Second half

46'Substitution · T. Partey ⇄ A. Al Asmari
Yellow card · V. Lekhal51'
Goal · T. Okou (assist : Trezeguet)57'
Red card · K. Keita61'
70'Substitution · M. Al Thani ⇄ A. Matuq
Substitution · L. Antunes ⇄ H. A. Bahri E.79'
81'Goal · Y. Carrasco
Substitution · T. Okou ⇄ H. Majrashi86'
Substitution · Trezeguet ⇄ H. Al Ali89'

What we announced

3/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards81%held
- 2 yellow cards for 18 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 61st minute.
Under 6.5 yellow cards91%held
Draw or Al Riyadh ahead at half-time63%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 32′ Al Riyadh, 36′ Al Shabab, 41′ Al Riyadh, 45′ Al Shabab.
Al Shabab or Al Riyadh75%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 61st minute, on the Al Riyadh side.
- The volume of chances went no further: 4.08 expected goals in total.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAl Shabab 14th, Al Riyadh 11th (Saudi Professional League)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Al Riyadh (0-1)
During the match36′ equaliser, Al Shabab (1-1)
During the match41′ Al Riyadh retake the lead (1-2)
During the match45′ equaliser, Al Shabab (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match57′ Al Riyadh retake the lead (2-3)
During the match61′ sending-off, Al Riyadh (K. Keita)
During the match81′ equaliser, Al Shabab (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,982 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Saudi Professional League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes