Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Pro League (Saudi Arabia) · Saudi-Arabia

full time

Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Al-Ettifaq

2–3full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–3

Al-Nassr

What Janus-12 said

81%

Under 5.5 yellow cards

100% success over 1 match in this league

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 25/08, 19:00announced on 15/08/2026, 10 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

100% success over 1 match in this league
90%✓
83% success over 12 matches in this league
81%✗
80% success over 15 matches in this league
84%✓
47% success over 15 matches in this league
63%✓

Saudi Professional League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	6	0	1	+18	18
2	Al-Ittihad FC	7	5	2	0	+6	17
3	Al-Nassr	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	NEOM	7	5	0	2	+7	15
6	Al-Ahli Jeddah	7	4	0	3	+6	12
7	Al Kholood	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Al Diriyah	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Al-Ettifaq	7	3	2	2	0	11
10	Al-Hazm	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Al-Fayha	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	7	0	5	2	-7	5
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Al-Fateh	7	0	3	4	-7	3
16	Al-Faisaly FC	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	-9	3
18	Abha	7	0	2	5	-8	2

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards81%held
- 2 yellow cards for 21 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 12th minute.
Under 6.5 yellow cards90%held
Draw or Al-Nassr ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 31′ Al-Ettifaq, 45′ Al-Ettifaq.
Draw or Al-Nassr84%held
- Al-Nassr held on with ten men for 78 minutes (sent off in the 12th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Al-Nassr against 5.
Al-Nassr to win63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAl-Ettifaq 9th, Al-Nassr 3rd (Saudi Professional League)

During the match

During the match12′ sending-off, Al-Nassr (Bento)
During the match31′ opening goal, Al-Ettifaq (1-0)
During the match45′ Al-Ettifaq go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match77′ Al-Nassr come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Al-Nassr go ahead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,982 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Al-Ettifaq on the left, Al-Nassr on the right.

First half

Red card · Bento12'
Substitution · Angelo ⇄ A. Al Otaibi16'
31'Goal · O. Duda
43'Yellow card · M. Dembele
45+4'Goal · A. Medran (assist : Y. Al Shammari)

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · C. Ronaldo ⇄ A. Al Khaibari46'
46'Substitution · M. Al Olayan ⇄ A. Madu
52'Substitution · M. Gluscevic ⇄ J. Larsson
VAR: Goal Disallowed - video review · S. Mane53'
Yellow card · Joao Felix55'
68'Substitution · Y. Al Shammari ⇄ B. Celina
68'Substitution · R. Messi ⇄ K. Al Ghannam
Substitution · K. Coman ⇄ S. Al Najei68'
Substitution · Samu Costa ⇄ A. Al Hamdan68'
Goal · S. Mane (assist : Joao Felix)74'
Goal · A. Al Amri (assist : Joao Felix)77'
87'Substitution · M. Dembele ⇄ M. Al Alaeli
Goal · S. Mane (assist : S. Al Najei)90'
Substitution · S. Mane ⇄ N. Al Sharari90+3'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards81%held
- 2 yellow cards for 21 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 12th minute.
Under 6.5 yellow cards90%held
Draw or Al-Nassr ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 31′ Al-Ettifaq, 45′ Al-Ettifaq.
Draw or Al-Nassr84%held
- Al-Nassr held on with ten men for 78 minutes (sent off in the 12th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Al-Nassr against 5.
Al-Nassr to win63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAl-Ettifaq 9th, Al-Nassr 3rd (Saudi Professional League)

During the match

During the match12′ sending-off, Al-Nassr (Bento)
During the match31′ opening goal, Al-Ettifaq (1-0)
During the match45′ Al-Ettifaq go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match77′ Al-Nassr come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Al-Nassr go ahead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,982 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Saudi Professional League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes