Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 6 September at 17:15. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Qarabag

3–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–2

Araz

What Janus-12 said

90%

Qarabag or draw

89% success over 19 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Qarabag or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 06/09, 17:15announced on 22/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

58% success over 19 matches in this league
70%✓
0% success over 1 match in this league
57%✓

Premyer Liqasi

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Sabah FA	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Turan	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Şamaxı FK	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Qabala	6	1	1	4	-5	4
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	-5	4
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	-9	3
11	Sumqayıt	5	0	2	3	-4	2
12	Araz	6	0	2	4	-8	2

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Qarabag or draw90%held
- Qarabag took the lead in the 8th minute and never let it go.
- Qarabag took control early: opening goal in the 8th minute.
Qarabag to win70%held
Qarabag ahead at half-time57%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 8′ Qarabag.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableQarabag 3rd, Araz 12th (Premyer Liqasi)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Qarabag (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ Qarabag go 2 goals up (2-0)
Line-up67′ the goal came off the bench: R. Cephas (Qarabag)
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: M. Qurbanly (Qarabag)
During the match90′ last goal, Araz
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Salyanskiy (Araz)

What it changes

In this league, “Qarabag or draw” goes from 89.5% to 90% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Qarabag on the left, Araz on the right.

First half

8'Goal · J. Montiel
Yellow card · R. Muradov14'
Substitution · I. Paro ⇄ Bruno Franco37'
44'Yellow card · C. Makreckis
Yellow card · M. Ahmadzada44'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · M. Ahmadzada ⇄ C. Nuriyev65'
Substitution · A. Sudi ⇄ A. Salyanskiy65'
65'Substitution · T. Ismaheel ⇄ R. Cephas
65'Substitution · J. Montiel ⇄ M. Qurbanly
67'Goal · R. Cephas
Goal · L. Dumancic72'
73'Substitution · Diego Rosa ⇄ Pedro Bicalho
Substitution · P. Andrade ⇄ A. Fernandez75'
Substitution · R. Muradov ⇄ C. Boli75'
Yellow card · M. Kane79'
87'Substitution · O. Kashchuk ⇄ R. Khadra
89'Goal · M. Qurbanly
Goal · A. Salyanskiy90+3'

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Qarabag or draw90%held
- Qarabag took the lead in the 8th minute and never let it go.
- Qarabag took control early: opening goal in the 8th minute.
Qarabag to win70%held
Qarabag ahead at half-time57%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 8′ Qarabag.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableQarabag 3rd, Araz 12th (Premyer Liqasi)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Qarabag (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ Qarabag go 2 goals up (2-0)
Line-up67′ the goal came off the bench: R. Cephas (Qarabag)
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: M. Qurbanly (Qarabag)
During the match90′ last goal, Araz
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Salyanskiy (Araz)

What it changes

In this league, “Qarabag or draw” goes from 89.5% to 90% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premyer Liqasi

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes