Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 5 September at 17:30. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Neftchi Baku

4–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 3–1

Safa Baku

What Janus-12 said

87%

Neftchi Baku or draw

89% success over 18 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Neftchi Baku or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 17:30announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 15 matches in this league
53%✗
56% success over 18 matches in this league
66%✓

Premyer Liqasi

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Sabah FA	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Turan	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Şamaxı FK	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Qabala	6	1	1	4	-5	4
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	-5	4
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	-9	3
11	Sumqayıt	5	0	2	3	-4	2
12	Araz	6	0	2	4	-8	2

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Neftchi Baku or draw87%held
- Neftchi Baku took the lead in the 64th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Safa Baku ahead at half-time53%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 35′ Neftchi Baku.
Neftchi Baku to win66%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNeftchi Baku 1st, Safa Baku 10th (Premyer Liqasi)

During the match

During the match35′ opening goal, Neftchi Baku (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, Safa Baku (1-1)
During the match64′ Neftchi Baku retake the lead (2-1)
During the match66′ Neftchi Baku go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match79′ last goal, Neftchi Baku

What it changes

In this league, “Neftchi Baku or draw” goes from 88.9% to 89.5% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Neftchi Baku on the left, Safa Baku on the right.

First half

35'Goal · R. Abbasov

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · B. Sambou ⇄ F. Vargas
Substitution · O. Diaw ⇄ D. Mertens46'
Substitution · B. Dansoko ⇄ T. Fuller46'
Goal · M. Musayev48'
Yellow card · Luis Felipe59'
Substitution · Luis Felipe ⇄ N. Aliyev63'
64'Goal · A. Skribek
66'Goal · A. Skribek
68'Substitution · I. Mathew ⇄ E. Safarov
69'Substitution · E. Mahmudov ⇄ Gustavo Klismahn
Substitution · F. Yusifli ⇄ R. Huseynli77'
79'Penalty goal · Breno Almeida
80'Yellow card · Gustavo Klismahn
81'Substitution · A. Skribek ⇄ V. Sevelj
84'Substitution · Breno Almeida ⇄ D. Savic

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Neftchi Baku or draw87%held
- Neftchi Baku took the lead in the 64th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Safa Baku ahead at half-time53%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 35′ Neftchi Baku.
Neftchi Baku to win66%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNeftchi Baku 1st, Safa Baku 10th (Premyer Liqasi)

During the match

During the match35′ opening goal, Neftchi Baku (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, Safa Baku (1-1)
During the match64′ Neftchi Baku retake the lead (2-1)
During the match66′ Neftchi Baku go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match79′ last goal, Neftchi Baku

What it changes

In this league, “Neftchi Baku or draw” goes from 88.9% to 89.5% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premyer Liqasi

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes