Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan

full time

Monday, 31 August 2026

Sumqayıt

0-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–0

Qarabag

What Janus-12 said

89%

Draw or Qarabag

100% success over 9 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Qarabag

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 31/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 29/08, 16:00announced on 15/08/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 9 matches in this league
73%✓
50% success over 6 matches in this league
88%✓

Premyer Liqasi

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Sabah FA	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Turan	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Şamaxı FK	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Qabala	6	1	1	4	-5	4
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	-5	4
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	-9	3
11	Sumqayıt	5	0	2	3	-4	2
12	Araz	6	0	2	4	-8	2

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Qarabag89%held
- Qarabag held on with ten men for 58 minutes (sent off in the 32nd minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Qarabag took the lead in the 45th minute and never let it go.
Qarabag to win73%held
Draw or Qarabag ahead at half-time88%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ Qarabag.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSumqayıt 11th, Qarabag 3rd (Premyer Liqasi)

During the match

During the match32′ sending-off, Qarabag (Kady Borges)
During the match45′ opening goal, Qarabag (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Qarabag” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sumqayıt on the left, Qarabag on the right.

First half

Yellow card · S. Lobato25'
Red card · Kady Borges32'
Penalty goal · J. Mouaddib45'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

Substitution · S. Lobato ⇄ M. Jankovic46'
60'Substitution · N. Orucov ⇄ Tiago Almeida
60'Substitution · R. Vasquez ⇄ R. Ahmadzada
Substitution · M. Qurbanly ⇄ O. Kashchuk61'
76'Substitution · A. Jankovic ⇄ E. Mustafaev
76'Substitution · Renan Santana ⇄ Keffel
77'Yellow card · R. Ahmadzada
Substitution · T. Ismaheel ⇄ B. Huseynov80'
88'Substitution · H. Haqverdi ⇄ A. Suleymanly

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Qarabag89%held
- Qarabag held on with ten men for 58 minutes (sent off in the 32nd minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Qarabag took the lead in the 45th minute and never let it go.
Qarabag to win73%held
Draw or Qarabag ahead at half-time88%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ Qarabag.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSumqayıt 11th, Qarabag 3rd (Premyer Liqasi)

During the match

During the match32′ sending-off, Qarabag (Kady Borges)
During the match45′ opening goal, Qarabag (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Qarabag” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premyer Liqasi

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes