Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie B · Italy

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Arezzo

1–4full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–3

Sudtirol

What Janus-12 said

64%

Draw or Sudtirol ahead at half-time

70% success over 46 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Sudtirol ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 17:06.

Sealed on 20/09, 14:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

61% success over 46 matches in this league
74%✗

Serie B

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Vicenza	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	-4	1

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Sudtirol ahead at half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ Sudtirol.
Arezzo or draw74%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Arezzo had 12 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 4.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableArezzo 12th, Sudtirol 2nd (Serie B)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Sudtirol (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match54′ Sudtirol go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match81′ last goal, Arezzo

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Sudtirol ahead at half-time” goes from 69.6% to 70.2% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Arezzo on the left, Sudtirol on the right.

First half

26'Yellow card · Artur Ioniță
Yellow card · Lorenzo Anghele29'
Substitution · Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason ⇄ Simone Davì45'
Substitution · Lorenzo Anghele ⇄ Aljosa Vasic45'
Goal · Fabio Rispoli (assist : Salvatore Molina)45+1'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

46'Yellow card · Mattia Viviani
Yellow card · Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes51'
Goal · Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes (assist : Aljosa Vasic)54'
56'Substitution · Pietro Cianci ⇄ Alberto Cerri
57'Substitution · Mattia Viviani ⇄ Luca Chierico
Substitution · Alvin Okoro ⇄ Kenny Meddy Mixtur59'
62'Substitution · Marco Olivieri ⇄ Alessandro Arena
Goal · Kenny Meddy Mixtur (assist : Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes)68'
Substitution · Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes ⇄ Rares Burnete71'
78'Substitution · mattia sala ⇄ Giuseppe Kevin Leone
78'Substitution · Emiliano Pattarello ⇄ Leonardo Mancuso
Goal · Andrea Giorgini (assist : Fabio Rispoli)79'
81'Goal · Leonardo Mancuso (assist : Alessandro Arena)
Substitution · Giacomo Stabile ⇄ Davide Veroli83'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Sudtirol ahead at half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ Sudtirol.
Arezzo or draw74%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Arezzo had 12 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 4.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableArezzo 12th, Sudtirol 2nd (Serie B)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Sudtirol (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match54′ Sudtirol go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match81′ last goal, Arezzo

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Sudtirol ahead at half-time” goes from 69.6% to 70.2% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes