Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie B · Italy

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Padova

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Hellas Verona

What Janus-12 said

75%

Padova or draw

45% success over 11 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Padova or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 04:51.

Sealed on 29/08, 20:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

45% success over 11 matches in this league
69%✗

Serie B

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Vicenza	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	-4	1

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Padova or draw75%held
- Padova were never behind.
- Padova took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
Draw or Hellas Verona ahead at half-time69%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 25′ Padova.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePadova 6th, Hellas Verona 8th (Serie B)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Padova (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ equaliser, Hellas Verona (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Padova or draw” goes from 45.5% to 50% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Padova on the left, Hellas Verona on the right.

First half

18'Yellow card · P. Fusi
24'Yellow card · C. Pastina
25'Own goal · A. Edmundsson
Yellow card · T. Slotsager27'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · T. Slotsager ⇄ S. Korac46'
59'Substitution · P. Fusi ⇄ G. Giunti
59'Substitution · G. Caprari ⇄ K. Lasagna
Substitution · A. Harroui ⇄ D. Livramento65'
Penalty goal · A. Sarr67'
70'Substitution · L. Moro ⇄ M. Bortolussi
70'Substitution · M. Cocchi ⇄ A. Capelli
75'Yellow card · G. Giunti
Substitution · M. Compagnon ⇄ G. Kastanos78'
Substitution · A. Sarr ⇄ S. Cerbone78'
Substitution · G. Zappa ⇄ N. Calabrese78'
83'Substitution · M. Pompetti ⇄ F. Di Mariano
90'Yellow card · A. Capelli

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Padova or draw75%held
- Padova were never behind.
- Padova took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
Draw or Hellas Verona ahead at half-time69%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 25′ Padova.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePadova 6th, Hellas Verona 8th (Serie B)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Padova (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ equaliser, Hellas Verona (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Padova or draw” goes from 45.5% to 50% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes