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Janus-12

Serie B · Italy

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Virtus Entella

1–2full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 0–0

Cesena

What Janus-12 said

73%

Virtus Entella or draw

45% success over 11 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Virtus Entella or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 04:50.

Sealed on 29/08, 18:00announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

45% success over 11 matches in this league
70%✓

Serie B

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Vicenza	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	-4	1

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Virtus Entella or draw73%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Virtus Entella had 14 shots against 7, for 1 goal against 2.
- Virtus Entella chased the score almost all match: Cesena scored as early as the 25th minute.
Draw or Cesena ahead at half-time70%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 25′ Cesena, 36′ Cesena, 42′ Virtus Entella.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVirtus Entella 14th, Cesena 10th (Serie B)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Cesena (0-1)
During the match36′ Cesena go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2

What it changes

In this league, “Virtus Entella or draw” goes from 45.5% to 41.7% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Virtus Entella on the left, Cesena on the right.

First half

Goal · Antonio Fiori25'
Goal · Cristian Shpendi (assist : X. Druiventak)36'
42'Goal · Andrea Tiritiello (assist : Luca Vignali)
45'Substitution · M Tirelli ⇄ Luigi Cuppone
Yellow card · Cristian Shpendi45+1'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

Yellow card · Matteo Guidi50'
Substitution · Matteo Guidi ⇄ Matteo Francesconi53'
Substitution · Antonio Fiori ⇄ Gianluca Frabotta53'
69'Substitution · Niccolo Squizzato ⇄ Lucas Felippe
69'Substitution · Luca Vignali ⇄ Leonardo Benedetti
Substitution · X. Druiventak ⇄ Alessandro Debenedetti70'
84'Substitution · Andrea Franzoni ⇄ Giacomo Corona
84'Substitution · Stefano Di Mario ⇄ Ivan Marconi
85'Yellow card · Luca Parodi
Substitution · Cristian Shpendi ⇄ Marco Dalla Vecchia86'
Yellow card · Alessandro Diamanti89'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Virtus Entella or draw73%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Virtus Entella had 14 shots against 7, for 1 goal against 2.
- Virtus Entella chased the score almost all match: Cesena scored as early as the 25th minute.
Draw or Cesena ahead at half-time70%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 25′ Cesena, 36′ Cesena, 42′ Virtus Entella.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVirtus Entella 14th, Cesena 10th (Serie B)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Cesena (0-1)
During the match36′ Cesena go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2

What it changes

In this league, “Virtus Entella or draw” goes from 45.5% to 41.7% success rate, over 12 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes