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Janus-12

Serie B · Italy

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

Cremonese

0–3full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 0–1

Modena

What Janus-12 said

77%

Cremonese or draw

50% success over 10 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A prediction at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Cremonese or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 00:32.

Sealed on 28/08, 19:30announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

40% success over 10 matches in this league
65%✓

Serie B

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Vicenza	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	-4	1

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cremonese or draw77%lost
Draw or Modena ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 31′ Modena, 45′ Modena.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCremonese 15th, Modena 4th (Serie B)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Modena (0-1)
During the match45′ Modena go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2

What it changes

In this league, “Cremonese or draw” goes from 50% to 45.5% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cremonese on the left, Modena on the right.

First half

18'Yellow card · S. Pontisso
Yellow card · G. Olzer24'
30'Yellow card · F. Gerli
Goal · G. Olzer (assist : G. Brugman)31'
Goal · G. Olzer (assist : G. Ambrosino)45'

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

46'Substitution · F. Bonazzoli ⇄ M. Nasti
46'Substitution · G. Pezzella ⇄ D. Lordkipanidze
Goal · G. Caso (assist : G. Ambrosino)55'
Substitution · G. Caso ⇄ A. Imputato59'
Substitution · G. Olzer ⇄ P. Azzi59'
64'Substitution · F. Gerli ⇄ S. Lottici Tessadri
64'Substitution · A. Vogliacco ⇄ F. Folino
71'Substitution · S. Pontisso ⇄ T. Berti
Substitution · G. Brugman ⇄ W. Acquah78'
Substitution · F. Zampano ⇄ K. Bozhanaj87'
Substitution · G. Ambrosino ⇄ D. Montevago87'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cremonese or draw77%lost
Draw or Modena ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 31′ Modena, 45′ Modena.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCremonese 15th, Modena 4th (Serie B)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Modena (0-1)
During the match45′ Modena go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2

What it changes

In this league, “Cremonese or draw” goes from 50% to 45.5% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes