Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligi kuu Bara · Tanzania

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Polisi Tanzania

2-0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–0

Mbeya City

What Janus-12 said

95%

Under 4.5 goals

89% success over 36 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

Betsson
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 04:53.

Sealed on 12/09, 14:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 39 matches in this league
75%✓
83% success over 35 matches in this league
85%✓
76% success over 34 matches in this league
61%✓
67% success over 36 matches in this league
56%✓
66% success over 29 matches in this league
71%✗
55% success over 31 matches in this league
68%✓

Ligi kuu Bara

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Young Africans	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	+9	18
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Singida Black Stars	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Polisi Tanzania	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Dodoma Jiji	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	0	9
9	Geita Gold	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	JKT Tanzania	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Tabora United	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Namungo	7	2	0	5	-5	6
14	Fountain Gate	6	1	1	4	-7	4
15	Kagera Sugar	6	0	2	4	-9	2
16	Pamba Jiji	6	0	1	5	-9	1

What we announced

6/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals95%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 81st minute, on the Polisi Tanzania side.
Polisi Tanzania or draw75%held
- Polisi Tanzania held on with ten men for 9 minutes (sent off in the 81st minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Polisi Tanzania took the lead in the 38th minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals85%held
Over 1.5 goals61%held
One team ahead at half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 38′ Polisi Tanzania, 45′ Polisi Tanzania.
Draw or Mbeya City ahead at half-time71%lost
Under 2.5 goals68%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePolisi Tanzania 5th, Mbeya City 6th (Ligi kuu Bara)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Polisi Tanzania (1-0)
During the match45′ Polisi Tanzania go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match81′ sending-off, Polisi Tanzania

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.9% to 89.2% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

6/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals95%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 81st minute, on the Polisi Tanzania side.
Polisi Tanzania or draw75%held
- Polisi Tanzania held on with ten men for 9 minutes (sent off in the 81st minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Polisi Tanzania took the lead in the 38th minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals85%held
Over 1.5 goals61%held
One team ahead at half-time56%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 38′ Polisi Tanzania, 45′ Polisi Tanzania.
Draw or Mbeya City ahead at half-time71%lost
Under 2.5 goals68%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePolisi Tanzania 5th, Mbeya City 6th (Ligi kuu Bara)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Polisi Tanzania (1-0)
During the match45′ Polisi Tanzania go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match81′ sending-off, Polisi Tanzania

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.9% to 89.2% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligi kuu Bara

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes