Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Ligi kuu Bara · Tanzania

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 5 September at 14:00. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 14:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Polisi Tanzania

1–2full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 1–0

Coastal Union

What Janus-12 said

76%

Polisi Tanzania or draw

89% success over 35 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 05/09, 14:01announced on 23/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

88% success over 32 matches in this league
95%✓
81% success over 31 matches in this league
84%✓
77% success over 30 matches in this league
58%✓
68% success over 25 matches in this league
65%✓
66% success over 32 matches in this league
56%✓
59% success over 27 matches in this league
66%✗

Ligi kuu Bara

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Young Africans	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	+9	18
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Singida Black Stars	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Polisi Tanzania	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Dodoma Jiji	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	0	9
9	Geita Gold	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	JKT Tanzania	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Tabora United	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Namungo	7	2	0	5	-5	6
14	Fountain Gate	6	1	1	4	-7	4
15	Kagera Sugar	6	0	2	4	-9	2
16	Pamba Jiji	6	0	1	5	-9	1

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Polisi Tanzania or draw76%lost
- Polisi Tanzania chased the score almost all match: Coastal Union scored as early as the 6th minute.
Under 4.5 goals95%held
Under 3.5 goals84%held
Over 1.5 goals58%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 3 in total.
Draw or Coastal Union ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 6′ Coastal Union, 22′ Coastal Union.
One team ahead at half-time56%held
Under 2.5 goals66%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePolisi Tanzania 5th, Coastal Union 11th (Ligi kuu Bara)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Coastal Union (0-1)
During the match22′ Coastal Union go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match90′ last goal, Polisi Tanzania

What it changes

In this league, “Polisi Tanzania or draw” goes from 88.6% to 86.1% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Polisi Tanzania or draw76%lost
- Polisi Tanzania chased the score almost all match: Coastal Union scored as early as the 6th minute.
Under 4.5 goals95%held
Under 3.5 goals84%held
Over 1.5 goals58%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 3 in total.
Draw or Coastal Union ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 6′ Coastal Union, 22′ Coastal Union.
One team ahead at half-time56%held
Under 2.5 goals66%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePolisi Tanzania 5th, Coastal Union 11th (Ligi kuu Bara)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Coastal Union (0-1)
During the match22′ Coastal Union go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match90′ last goal, Polisi Tanzania

What it changes

In this league, “Polisi Tanzania or draw” goes from 88.6% to 86.1% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Ligi kuu Bara

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes