Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan

full time

Monday, 17 August 2026

Qarabag

3-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–0

Şamaxı FK

What Janus-12 said

90%

Qarabag or draw

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 17/08, 16:30announced on 15/08/2026, 2 days before kick-off

poster not sealed at kick-off: success rates are not shown

Premyer Liqasi

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Sabah FA	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Turan	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Şamaxı FK	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Qabala	6	1	1	4	-5	4
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	-5	4
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	-9	3
11	Sumqayıt	5	0	2	3	-4	2
12	Araz	6	0	2	4	-8	2

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Qarabag to win69%held
- Qarabag took the lead in the 59th minute and never let it go.
- Qarabag took control early: opening goal in the 28th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableQarabag 3rd, Şamaxı FK 6th (Premyer Liqasi)

During the match

During the match28′ opening goal, Qarabag (1-0)
During the match43′ equaliser, Şamaxı FK (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match59′ Qarabag retake the lead (2-1)
During the match85′ Qarabag go 2 goals up (3-1)
Line-up85′ the goal came off the bench: O. Kashchuk (Qarabag)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 591,577 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Qarabag on the left, Şamaxı FK on the right.

First half

Yellow card · F. Marques21'
28'Goal · R. Cephas
Goal · E. Adilkhanov43'
Yellow card · Ricardo Fernandes45+3'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

Substitution · O. Mammadov ⇄ H. Ismayilov46'
Substitution · A. Bouali ⇄ U. Cahangirov46'
55'Substitution · J. Montiel ⇄ M. Jankovic
55'Substitution · S. Lobato ⇄ Pedro Bicalho
Substitution · A. Shuaibu ⇄ T. Akhvlediani57'
59'Own goal · R. Apolinario
60'Substitution · J. Mouaddib ⇄ O. Kashchuk
Substitution · F. Marques ⇄ E. Suleymanov64'
Yellow card · R. F. Pereira Pacheco72'
74'Substitution · B. Varkonyi ⇄ B. Huseynov
74'Substitution · Matheus Silva ⇄ B. Mustafazada
Yellow card · A. Moumini79'
Substitution · E. Adilkhanov ⇄ O. Tahmazli82'
85'Goal · O. Kashchuk

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Qarabag to win69%held
- Qarabag took the lead in the 59th minute and never let it go.
- Qarabag took control early: opening goal in the 28th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableQarabag 3rd, Şamaxı FK 6th (Premyer Liqasi)

During the match

During the match28′ opening goal, Qarabag (1-0)
During the match43′ equaliser, Şamaxı FK (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match59′ Qarabag retake the lead (2-1)
During the match85′ Qarabag go 2 goals up (3-1)
Line-up85′ the goal came off the bench: O. Kashchuk (Qarabag)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 591,577 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premyer Liqasi

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes