Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (Greece) · Greece

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

PAOK

2–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–0

Aris

What Janus-12 said

83%

PAOK or draw

85% success over 20 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: PAOK or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 13/09, 19:00announced on 29/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 20 matches in this league
74%✓
70% success over 20 matches in this league
57%✓
67% success over 3 matches in this league
55%✗
47% success over 17 matches in this league
54%✗

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	PAOK	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	AEK	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	OFI Crete	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Olympiakos	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Panetolikos	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Aris	5	2	1	2	-5	7
9	Kifisia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-3	2
12	Asteras Tripolis	5	0	2	3	-5	2
13	Volos NFC	5	0	2	3	-5	2
14	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-9	1

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

PAOK or draw83%held
- PAOK took the lead in the 32nd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for PAOK against 3.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
PAOK to win57%held
Over 2.5 goals55%lost
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Draw or Aris ahead at half-time54%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 32′ PAOK, 42′ PAOK.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePAOK 2nd, Aris 7th (Super League)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, PAOK (1-0)
During the match42′ PAOK go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “PAOK or draw” goes from 85% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

PAOK on the left, Aris on the right.

First half

3'Yellow card · Jonjoe Kenny
20'Yellow card · Christos Zafeiris
Yellow card · Tino Kadewere25'
30'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Cherif Ndiaye
32'Penalty goal · Cherif Ndiaye
42'Goal · Andrija Živković
Substitution · Ayotomiwa Dele-Bashiru ⇄ Manu García45'

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Tino Kadewere ⇄ Loren Moron61'
64'Substitution · Christos Zafeiris ⇄ Kristijan Jakić
73'Substitution · Taison Barcellos Freda ⇄ Mady Camara
73'Substitution · Dimitrios Pelkas ⇄ Dimitrios Chatsidis
77'Yellow card · Cherif Ndiaye
Substitution · Noah Fadiga ⇄ Jeremy Petris78'
Substitution · Giannis Gianniotas ⇄ Christian Kouamé78'
Substitution · Benjamin Garré ⇄ Sebastián Palacios85'
85'Substitution · Cherif Ndiaye ⇄ Anestis Mythou
85'Substitution · Andrija Živković ⇄ Taha Ali

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

PAOK or draw83%held
- PAOK took the lead in the 32nd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for PAOK against 3.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
PAOK to win57%held
Over 2.5 goals55%lost
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Draw or Aris ahead at half-time54%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 32′ PAOK, 42′ PAOK.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePAOK 2nd, Aris 7th (Super League)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, PAOK (1-0)
During the match42′ PAOK go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “PAOK or draw” goes from 85% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes