Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (Greece) · Greece

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 17:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Asteras Tripolis

1–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

AEK

What Janus-12 said

92%

Draw or AEK

84% success over 19 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or AEK

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 20:05.

Sealed on 13/09, 17:00announced on 29/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

84% success over 19 matches in this league
79%✓
68% success over 19 matches in this league
74%✗
63% success over 16 matches in this league
50%✓
44% success over 16 matches in this league
89%✓

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	PAOK	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	AEK	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	OFI Crete	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Olympiakos	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Panetolikos	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Aris	5	2	1	2	-5	7
9	Kifisia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-3	2
12	Asteras Tripolis	5	0	2	3	-5	2
13	Volos NFC	5	0	2	3	-5	2
14	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-9	1

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or AEK92%held
- AEK were never behind.
- AEK took control early: opening goal in the 21st minute.
Over 1.5 goals79%held
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
AEK to win74%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: AEK had 21 shots against 13, for 1 goal against 1.
Under 2.5 goals50%held
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Draw or AEK ahead at half-time89%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 21′ AEK, 31′ Asteras Tripolis.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAsteras Tripolis 12th, AEK 3rd (Super League)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, AEK (0-1)
During the match31′ equaliser, Asteras Tripolis (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or AEK” goes from 84.2% to 85% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Asteras Tripolis on the left, AEK on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Lovro Majer4'
Own goal · Dimitrios Laskaris21'
31'Goal · Julián Bartolo (assist : Federico Macheda)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Substitution · Kervin Arriaga ⇄ Barnabás Varga52'
Substitution · Mijat Gaćinović ⇄ Aboubakary Koita52'
54'Yellow card · Julián Bartolo
74'Substitution · Federico Macheda ⇄ Ricardo Viana Filho
74'Substitution · Dimitrios Kourbelis ⇄ Giannis Bouzoukis
81'Substitution · Kalvin Ketu ⇄ Antonis Papakanellos
Substitution · Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador ⇄ Petros Mantalos88'
90+1'Yellow card · Giannis Kotsiras
90+2'Substitution · Julián Bartolo ⇄ Alexandros Tereziou

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or AEK92%held
- AEK were never behind.
- AEK took control early: opening goal in the 21st minute.
Over 1.5 goals79%held
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
AEK to win74%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: AEK had 21 shots against 13, for 1 goal against 1.
Under 2.5 goals50%held
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Draw or AEK ahead at half-time89%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 21′ AEK, 31′ Asteras Tripolis.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAsteras Tripolis 12th, AEK 3rd (Super League)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, AEK (0-1)
During the match31′ equaliser, Asteras Tripolis (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or AEK” goes from 84.2% to 85% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes