Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (Greece) · Greece

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 5 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

AEK

5–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 4–0

Aris

What Janus-12 said

86%

AEK or draw

100% success over 12 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: AEK or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 19:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

92% success over 12 matches in this league
65%✓
83% success over 12 matches in this league
67%✓
63% success over 8 matches in this league
55%✗
50% success over 10 matches in this league
55%✗

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	PAOK	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	AEK	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	OFI Crete	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Olympiakos	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Panetolikos	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Aris	5	2	1	2	-5	7
9	Kifisia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-3	2
12	Asteras Tripolis	5	0	2	3	-5	2
13	Volos NFC	5	0	2	3	-5	2
14	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-9	1

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

AEK or draw86%held
- AEK took the lead in the 11th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for AEK against 2.
AEK to win65%held
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 11th minute, 5 in total.
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals55%lost
Draw or Aris ahead at half-time55%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 11′ AEK.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAEK 3rd, Aris 7th (Super League)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, AEK (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match62′ AEK go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, AEK

What it changes

In this league, “AEK or draw” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

AEK on the left, Aris on the right.

First half

11'Goal · Barnabás Varga (assist : Lovro Majer)
27'Yellow card · Lovro Majer
40'Yellow card · Llazaros Rota
Substitution · Giannis Gianniotas ⇄ Sebastián Palacios45'
Substitution · Manu García ⇄ Christian Kouamé45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

62'Goal · Barnabás Varga (assist : Mijat Gaćinović)
Substitution · Ayotomiwa Dele-Bashiru ⇄ Martin Hongla64'
Substitution · Tino Kadewere ⇄ Rafa Mir64'
66'Goal · Răzvan Marin (assist : Lovro Majer)
68'Substitution · Luka Jovic ⇄ Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
68'Substitution · Mijat Gaćinović ⇄ Aboubakary Koita
72'VAR: Goal cancelled · Barnabás Varga
75'Goal · Aboubakary Koita (assist : Milan Vitális)
80'Substitution · Barnabás Varga ⇄ Petros Mantalos
80'Substitution · Răzvan Marin ⇄ Kervin Arriaga
82'VAR: Penalty cancelled · Petros Mantalos
Substitution · Benjamin Garré ⇄ Othman Boussaid82'
83'Substitution · Lovro Majer ⇄ Oleksandr Zubkov
90'Goal · Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador (assist : Petros Mantalos)

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

AEK or draw86%held
- AEK took the lead in the 11th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for AEK against 2.
AEK to win65%held
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 11th minute, 5 in total.
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals55%lost
Draw or Aris ahead at half-time55%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 11′ AEK.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAEK 3rd, Aris 7th (Super League)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, AEK (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match62′ AEK go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, AEK

What it changes

In this league, “AEK or draw” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes