Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (Greece) · Greece

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Kifisia

1–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

AEK

What Janus-12 said

73%

AEK to win

100% success over 6 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: AEK to win

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 29/08, 16:00announced on 15/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

100% success over 6 matches in this league
90%✓
83% success over 6 matches in this league
72%✓
25% success over 4 matches in this league
88%✓
25% success over 4 matches in this league
53%✓

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	PAOK	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	AEK	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	OFI Crete	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Olympiakos	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Panetolikos	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Aris	5	2	1	2	-5	7
9	Kifisia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-3	2
12	Asteras Tripolis	5	0	2	3	-5	2
13	Volos NFC	5	0	2	3	-5	2
14	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-9	1

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

AEK to win73%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Kifisia scored in the 90th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 90th minute came from a substitute.
Draw or AEK90%held
- AEK were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for AEK against 2.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The chances said so: 1.43 expected goals in total.
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Draw or AEK ahead at half-time88%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 2.5 goals53%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKifisia 9th, AEK 3rd (Super League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match63′ opening goal, AEK (0-1)
During the match90′ equaliser, Kifisia (1-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Kifisia (R. van Eijma)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Bernardo (Kifisia)

What it changes

In this league, “AEK to win” goes from 100% to 85.7% success rate, over 7 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Kifisia on the left, AEK on the right.

First half

Yellow card · A. Koita18'
18'Yellow card · I. Jagne
Substitution · A. Koita ⇄ O. Zubkov29'
31'Yellow card · H. Sousa

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

57'Yellow card · R. van Eijma
Goal · B. Varga (assist : R. Marin)63'
63'Yellow card · M. Ramirez
Yellow card · L. Rota63'
68'Substitution · A. Sagal ⇄ D. Theodoridis
69'Substitution · G. Sousa ⇄ Bernardo
Substitution · M. Vitalis ⇄ K. Kairinen69'
Substitution · L. Majer ⇄ P. Mantalos69'
75'Substitution · I. Jagne ⇄ J. Mboula
81'Substitution · J. Antonisse ⇄ K. Apostolakis
82'Substitution · H. Sousa ⇄ A. Christopoulos
Substitution · B. Varga ⇄ Zini82'
90+3'Yellow card · R. van Eijma
90+3'Red card · R. van Eijma
90+7'Goal · Bernardo (assist : C. Jolibois)

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

AEK to win73%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Kifisia scored in the 90th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 90th minute came from a substitute.
Draw or AEK90%held
- AEK were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for AEK against 2.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The chances said so: 1.43 expected goals in total.
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Draw or AEK ahead at half-time88%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 2.5 goals53%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKifisia 9th, AEK 3rd (Super League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match63′ opening goal, AEK (0-1)
During the match90′ equaliser, Kifisia (1-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Kifisia (R. van Eijma)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Bernardo (Kifisia)

What it changes

In this league, “AEK to win” goes from 100% to 85.7% success rate, over 7 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes