Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Nacional · Honduras

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

CD Motagua

2-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–0

Olancho

What Janus-12 said

79%

CD Motagua or draw

93% success over 15 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: CD Motagua or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 23:05.

Sealed on 30/08, 02:30announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

57% success over 14 matches in this league
62%✓

Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	CD Olimpia	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	CD Marathon	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	CD Motagua	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Génesis	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	+1	11
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	-3	9
8	Atletico Independiente	8	2	3	3	-4	9
9	Lobos Upnfm	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Atlético Choloma	8	2	1	5	-2	7
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	-11	6
12	Platense FC	8	1	2	5	-12	5

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

CD Motagua or draw79%held
Draw or Olancho ahead at half-time62%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 6′ Olancho.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCD Motagua 4th, Olancho 6th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Olancho (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match48′ equaliser, CD Motagua (1-1)
During the match70′ turnaround, CD Motagua go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “CD Motagua or draw” goes from 93.3% to 93.8% success rate, over 16 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

CD Motagua on the left, Olancho on the right.

First half

Goal · J. Bengtson6'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

Substitution · Y. A. Cabrera ⇄ H. Gomez46'
46'Substitution · J. Portillo ⇄ G. Sacaza
46'Substitution · R. Gomez ⇄ R. De Olivera
48'Goal · C. Melendez
61'Substitution · J. Miranda ⇄ J. Batiz
Substitution · A. G. Velasquez ⇄ Joanderson65'
Substitution · M. R. Ramirez Arauz ⇄ S. Pozantes65'
68'Substitution · J. Moya ⇄ J. Garcia
70'Goal · A. Reyes
Yellow card · H. Gomez77'
Substitution · D. Martinez ⇄ C. J. Zuniga Bernardez77'
82'Yellow card · C. Melendez
84'Substitution · V. Marinacci ⇄ L. Santamaria
90+4'Yellow card · R. De Olivera

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

CD Motagua or draw79%held
Draw or Olancho ahead at half-time62%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 6′ Olancho.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCD Motagua 4th, Olancho 6th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Olancho (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match48′ equaliser, CD Motagua (1-1)
During the match70′ turnaround, CD Motagua go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “CD Motagua or draw” goes from 93.3% to 93.8% success rate, over 16 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes