Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

2. Lig · Turkey

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 3 October at 13:00. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 15:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Erbaaspor

2–4full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 2–2

Aliağa FAŞ

What Janus-12 said

74%

Over 1.5 goals

75% success over 68 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Over 1.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 13:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 68 matches in this league
86%✗
75% success over 64 matches in this league
79%✓
74% success over 68 matches in this league
75%✓
74% success over 68 matches in this league
66%✓
60% success over 67 matches in this league
68%✗
59% success over 68 matches in this league
72%✗
57% success over 65 matches in this league
56%✓
40% success over 57 matches in this league
52%✗

Lig B: White Group

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Muş Sport Klübü	5	4	1	0	+8	13
1	Ad. Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aliağa FAŞ	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Elazığspor	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Hatayspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Çorluspor 1947	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Güzide Gebzespor	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Menemen FK	5	3	0	2	0	9
7	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Somaspor	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Isparta 32 Spor	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Şanlıurfaspor	5	1	3	1	0	6
12	Osmanlispor	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Kastamonuspor	5	2	0	3	-9	3
15	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

5/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 5th minute, 6 in total.
Under 4.5 goals86%lost
Draw or Aliağa FAŞ ahead at half-time79%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 5′ Aliağa FAŞ, 17′ Aliağa FAŞ.
Draw or Aliağa FAŞ75%held
- Aliağa FAŞ took the lead in the 5th minute and never let it go.
- Aliağa FAŞ took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time66%held
At most 1 goal before half-time68%lost
Under 3.5 goals72%lost
One team ahead at half-time56%held
Under 2.5 goals52%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableErbaaspor 8th, Aliağa FAŞ 2nd (Lig B: White Group)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Aliağa FAŞ (0-1)
During the match17′ Aliağa FAŞ go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match90′ last goal, Erbaaspor

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 75% to 75.4% success rate, over 69 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

5/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 5th minute, 6 in total.
Under 4.5 goals86%lost
Draw or Aliağa FAŞ ahead at half-time79%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 5′ Aliağa FAŞ, 17′ Aliağa FAŞ.
Draw or Aliağa FAŞ75%held
- Aliağa FAŞ took the lead in the 5th minute and never let it go.
- Aliağa FAŞ took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time66%held
At most 1 goal before half-time68%lost
Under 3.5 goals72%lost
One team ahead at half-time56%held
Under 2.5 goals52%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableErbaaspor 8th, Aliağa FAŞ 2nd (Lig B: White Group)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Aliağa FAŞ (0-1)
During the match17′ Aliağa FAŞ go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match90′ last goal, Erbaaspor

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 75% to 75.4% success rate, over 69 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig B: White Group

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes