Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

2. Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 27 September at 17:00. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 15:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Ad. Demirspor

0–3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–2

Erbaaspor

What Janus-12 said

79%

Under 4.5 goals

75% success over 64 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 27/09, 17:00announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 60 matches in this league
84%✓
73% success over 64 matches in this league
72%✓
73% success over 64 matches in this league
80%✓
72% success over 64 matches in this league
83%✓
59% success over 63 matches in this league
63%✓
58% success over 64 matches in this league
68%✓
56% success over 61 matches in this league
65%✓
41% success over 64 matches in this league
65%✓
40% success over 10 matches in this league
57%✓

Lig B: White Group

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Muş Sport Klübü	5	4	1	0	+8	13
1	Ad. Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aliağa FAŞ	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Elazığspor	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Hatayspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Çorluspor 1947	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Güzide Gebzespor	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Menemen FK	5	3	0	2	0	9
7	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Somaspor	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Isparta 32 Spor	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Şanlıurfaspor	5	1	3	1	0	6
12	Osmanlispor	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Kastamonuspor	5	2	0	3	-9	3
15	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

10/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals79%held
Draw or Erbaaspor ahead at half-time84%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 41′ Erbaaspor.
At least 1 goal before half-time72%held
Over 1.5 goals80%held
Ad. Demirspor or Erbaaspor83%held
At most 1 goal before half-time63%held
Under 3.5 goals68%held
One team ahead at half-time65%held
Erbaaspor to win65%held
- Erbaaspor took the lead in the 41st minute and never let it go.
Over 2.5 goals57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAd. Demirspor 1st, Erbaaspor 8th (Lig B: White Group)

During the match

During the match41′ opening goal, Erbaaspor (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match54′ Erbaaspor go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 75% to 75.4% success rate, over 65 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

10/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals79%held
Draw or Erbaaspor ahead at half-time84%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 41′ Erbaaspor.
At least 1 goal before half-time72%held
Over 1.5 goals80%held
Ad. Demirspor or Erbaaspor83%held
At most 1 goal before half-time63%held
Under 3.5 goals68%held
One team ahead at half-time65%held
Erbaaspor to win65%held
- Erbaaspor took the lead in the 41st minute and never let it go.
Over 2.5 goals57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAd. Demirspor 1st, Erbaaspor 8th (Lig B: White Group)

During the match

During the match41′ opening goal, Erbaaspor (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match54′ Erbaaspor go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 75% to 75.4% success rate, over 65 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig B: White Group

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes