Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

2. Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Sunday 6 September at 14:30. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 15:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Erbaaspor

4-4full timeHT 3–2 · 2H 1–2

Muş Sport Klübü

What Janus-12 said

92%

Under 4.5 goals

82% success over 2867 matches, all leagues

✗ Fell into the 8 %

A forecast at 92 % fails 8 % of the time: it happened.

None of the operators we check covers this market on this match.

Sealed on 06/09, 14:30announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

78% success over 3150 matches, all leagues
76%✓
76% success over 2869 matches, all leagues
63%✓
71% success over 2867 matches, all leagues
59%✓
68% success over 2620 matches, all leagues
80%✗
67% success over 2764 matches, all leagues
81%✗
63% success over 2790 matches, all leagues
75%✗
57% success over 99 matches, all leagues
50%✗
53% success over 1401 matches, all leagues
64%✗

Lig B: White Group

as of 08/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Muş Sport Klübü	5	4	1	0	+8	13
1	Ad. Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aliağa FAŞ	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Elazığspor	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Hatayspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Çorluspor 1947	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Güzide Gebzespor	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Menemen FK	5	3	0	2	0	9
7	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Somaspor	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Isparta 32 Spor	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Şanlıurfaspor	5	1	3	1	0	6
12	Osmanlispor	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Kastamonuspor	5	2	0	3	-9	3
15	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

3/9

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 14th minute, 8 in total.
Draw or Muş Sport Klübü76%held
- Muş Sport Klübü took control early: opening goal in the 14th minute.
Over 1.5 goals63%held
At least 1 goal before half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-2 at half-time, 14′ Muş Sport Klübü, 20′ Erbaaspor, 22′ Muş Sport Klübü, 27′ Erbaaspor, 45′ Erbaaspor.
Draw or Muş Sport Klübü ahead at half-time80%lost
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time75%lost
Level at half-time50%lost
Under 2.5 goals64%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableErbaaspor 8th, Muş Sport Klübü 1st (Lig B: White Group)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Muş Sport Klübü (0-1)
During the match20′ equaliser, Erbaaspor (1-1)
During the match22′ Muş Sport Klübü retake the lead (1-2)
During the match27′ equaliser, Erbaaspor (2-2)
During the match45′ turnaround, Erbaaspor go ahead (3-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-2
During the match64′ equaliser, Muş Sport Klübü (3-3)
During the match76′ turnaround, Erbaaspor go ahead (4-3)
During the match88′ equaliser, Muş Sport Klübü (4-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 81.9% to 81.9% success rate, over 2868 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

3/9

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 14th minute, 8 in total.
Draw or Muş Sport Klübü76%held
- Muş Sport Klübü took control early: opening goal in the 14th minute.
Over 1.5 goals63%held
At least 1 goal before half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-2 at half-time, 14′ Muş Sport Klübü, 20′ Erbaaspor, 22′ Muş Sport Klübü, 27′ Erbaaspor, 45′ Erbaaspor.
Draw or Muş Sport Klübü ahead at half-time80%lost
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time75%lost
Level at half-time50%lost
Under 2.5 goals64%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableErbaaspor 8th, Muş Sport Klübü 1st (Lig B: White Group)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Muş Sport Klübü (0-1)
During the match20′ equaliser, Erbaaspor (1-1)
During the match22′ Muş Sport Klübü retake the lead (1-2)
During the match27′ equaliser, Erbaaspor (2-2)
During the match45′ turnaround, Erbaaspor go ahead (3-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-2
During the match64′ equaliser, Muş Sport Klübü (3-3)
During the match76′ turnaround, Erbaaspor go ahead (4-3)
During the match88′ equaliser, Muş Sport Klübü (4-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 81.9% to 81.9% success rate, over 2868 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig B: White Group

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes