Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Date changed (2 times)

Brought forward to Friday 18 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Muğlaspor

2-2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–1

Iğdır FK

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

89% success over 56 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 18/09, 18:00announced on 06/09/2026, 11 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 56 matches in this league
64%✓
79% success over 56 matches in this league
67%✓
75% success over 56 matches in this league
80%✗
67% success over 60 matches in this league
73%✓
66% success over 56 matches in this league
53%✗
61% success over 56 matches in this league
73%✗
59% success over 56 matches in this league
68%✓
55% success over 49 matches in this league
56%✗

Lig A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

5/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 3′ Iğdır FK, 41′ Muğlaspor.
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals80%lost
Muğlaspor or draw73%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Muğlaspor against 3.
One team ahead at half-time53%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time73%lost
Draw or Iğdır FK ahead at half-time68%held
Under 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMuğlaspor 10th, Iğdır FK 3rd (Lig A)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Iğdır FK (0-1)
During the match41′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match57′ Iğdır FK retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.3% to 89.5% success rate, over 57 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Muğlaspor on the left, Iğdır FK on the right.

First half

Goal · S. Gurler3'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside · G. Kaya25'
41'Goal · L. Mago

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

Yellow card · S. Gurler55'
Goal · H. Karabey (assist : S. Gurler)57'
Yellow card · F. Afena-Gyan60'
Substitution · L. Caliskan ⇄ L. Bacuna62'
69'Substitution · K. Osundina ⇄ D. Camaj
Substitution · S. Gurler ⇄ O. Ozcan75'
Substitution · F. Afena-Gyan ⇄ M. Camara75'
Substitution · A. Colak ⇄ Douglas Tanque75'
76'Substitution · M. Diarra ⇄ I. Sissoko
76'Substitution · A. Guneren ⇄ E. Furat
Yellow card · M. Camara78'
81'Substitution · O. Matur ⇄ A. Barak
Yellow card · Douglas Tanque83'
85'Yellow card · D. Camaj
Substitution · S. Gonul ⇄ A. Ozturk88'
90+3'Goal · Y. Uzunoglu (assist : D. Camaj)

What we announced

5/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
At least 1 goal before half-time64%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 3′ Iğdır FK, 41′ Muğlaspor.
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals80%lost
Muğlaspor or draw73%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Muğlaspor against 3.
One team ahead at half-time53%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time73%lost
Draw or Iğdır FK ahead at half-time68%held
Under 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMuğlaspor 10th, Iğdır FK 3rd (Lig A)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Iğdır FK (0-1)
During the match41′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match57′ Iğdır FK retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ equaliser, Muğlaspor (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.3% to 89.5% success rate, over 57 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes