Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

1. Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed (2 times)

Brought forward to Sunday 20 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 17:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Manisa F.K.

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Istanbulspor

What Janus-12 said

84%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 61 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 06:05.

Sealed on 20/09, 15:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 61 matches in this league
77%✗
79% success over 61 matches in this league
69%✗
75% success over 61 matches in this league
67%✓
68% success over 65 matches in this league
81%✗
66% success over 61 matches in this league
59%✗
62% success over 61 matches in this league
66%✓
60% success over 10 matches in this league
53%✗
59% success over 61 matches in this league
60%✓
42% success over 65 matches in this league
57%✗

Lig A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Keçiörengücü	8	3	4	1	+7	13
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	+7	10
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	0	9
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	+1	8
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	-17	1

What we announced

4/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals84%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Over 1.5 goals77%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time69%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 3.5 goals67%held
Manisa F.K. or draw81%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Istanbulspor scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Manisa F.K. had 19 shots against 11, for 0 goal against 1.
One team ahead at half-time59%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time66%held
Over 2.5 goals53%lost
Draw or Istanbulspor ahead at half-time60%held
Manisa F.K. to win57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableManisa F.K. 13th, Istanbulspor 18th (Lig A)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match90′ opening goal, Istanbulspor (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90.2% to 90.3% success rate, over 62 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

4/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals84%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Over 1.5 goals77%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time69%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 3.5 goals67%held
Manisa F.K. or draw81%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Istanbulspor scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Manisa F.K. had 19 shots against 11, for 0 goal against 1.
One team ahead at half-time59%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time66%held
Over 2.5 goals53%lost
Draw or Istanbulspor ahead at half-time60%held
Manisa F.K. to win57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableManisa F.K. 13th, Istanbulspor 18th (Lig A)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match90′ opening goal, Istanbulspor (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90.2% to 90.3% success rate, over 62 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes